The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Allred Predicts San Francisco Faces Potential Bankruptcy and Budget Disarray
“From a governmental status, I'm sure the budget is going to be a wreck for a while. There is a possibility San Francisco goes bankrupt.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 25:44 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Allred: Unemployment Will Be Solved as an Optimization Problem Within 20 Years
“That unemployment is an optimization problem that will be solved in the next 20 years.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 33:13 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Allred: San Francisco and Palo Alto Permanently Lost Default Hub Status
“I think because of coronavirus, there is now enough of an impetus that it won't be obvious that you should go to San Francisco or Palo Alto anymore, and because of that, I think it will change permanently, and I think more will move to the cloud.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 26:04 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Lambda School Targets $10B Annual Student Income Increase by 2030
“We hold pretty sacred our ten-year goal at Lambda School of Increasing our student incomes over the next 10 years, so by 2030, by ten billion a year annually.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 29:24 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Allred: Lambda School Will Reach 500,000 Students Annually in Five Years
“Five years from now, we're probably half a million students a year.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 33:25 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Danner and Hastings Are the Sole Founders Scaling Public EdTech
“There are a lot of people who know a lot about education. There are a lot of people who have Built billion dollar companies and taken technology companies public. I think John Danner and Reed Hastings are basically the only people who are both at the same time…”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 28:31 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Allred's Prior Startup Failed After Billionaire Investor Pulled Series A
“We had a series A close, all the docs were done, had this big billionaire investor who was leading the round, and he just called me, like, on December 23rd and said, hey, I'm not going to send a wire, and that was the end of that company.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 4:41 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
Assertion Supported
Allred: Lambda School Raised Its Series B Without a Pitch Deck
“We didn't have a pitch deck for a series B.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 15:12 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lambda School Converted 2,000 of 7,000 Leads With Free Upfront Tuition
“So we sent out an email, you know, making it six months long, and we're teaching computer science because we thought that's something that code bootcamps were lacking, and it was going to be completely free until you get a job, basically our model today, and t…”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 19:09 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Assertion Not checkable as stated
One-Third of Lambda School On-Site Interviews Yielded Hires
“And we found that of those companies that we brought in, they would stay, they would interview students, and a third of those interviews ended up being hires.”
Austen Allred Mar 8, 2019 ▶ 29:37 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on Why Unemployment Is An Optimisation Problem That Will Be Solved Over The Next 20 Years, Why The Speed and Quality of Decisions Are Not Mutually Exclusive & The 1 Question All Founders Must Ask Themselves Befor
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Allred Slept in His Car in Palo Alto for Three Months
“I bought a two-door Honda Civic, and I drove out to Silicon Valley, and I slept on the streets of Palo Alto for about three months.”
Austen Allred Sep 18, 2020 ▶ 3:58 20VC: Lambda School Founder, Austen Allred on How To Assess Your Relationship To Risk and Money, Why San Francisco Is A Case Study For The Greatest Squandering of Wealth in History & Why Complexity Increases Exponentially with Scale
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