why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Jason Lemkin: Seamless switching between TPUs and GPUs undercuts Nvidia's moat
“The idea that NVIDIA is unstoppable because of the software and hardware connection, because we have to have GPUs. I know there's a lot of truth to that, but literally as an end user, I went right back and forth to them today. No, no issue. TPUs, GPUs, LLMs, a…”
Opinion
Morin: Google TPUs have more mature software and compute than Nvidia
“But AMD can do training, but it's also, but in terms of maturity, the, by far the most mature software and compute is TPUs, and then it's Nvidia.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morin: Google TPUs lack commercial success outside of Google
“They are very much successful inside of Google, but not much outside of Google, let's say, right?”
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Anthropic signed a deal for one million TPUs
“Anthropic signed a deal for a million TPUs, right? And is deep on the whole Amazon Tranium ecosystem.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Ross: Google ran three parallel chip projects, but only TPU succeeded
“So, people look at the TPU as a big success, and what they don't realize is that there were about three chip efforts at Google at the same time and only one of them ended up outperforming GPUs.”
Insight
Morin: Bottom-up AI infrastructure strategies fail because developers do not care
“I think that if you are doing it bottom up, infra to applications, you will lose because nobody will care. As they don't today, right? If you look at TPUs, they're available, they're great. Nobody cares.”