The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Lemkin: AI agents render Marketo, Outreach, and Salesloft worthless
“They're not going to recommend Marketo for your agent to do marketing automation, ok? In fact, it mocked Marketo outreach and sales loft as tools useless to agents. Ok, this API grid. They said there is no place in the, an agent will never send an email throug…”
Jason Lemkin Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 7:26 Anthropic Raises $45B but Falls Short on Compute & Thoma Bravo Hand Back Medallia Keys to Creditors · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Salesloft Was the Highest Multiple Ever Paid by PE for Software
“Which was the biggest outcome that it was the highest multiple ever paid by private equity for a software company. Companies required for 2.3 billion dollars.”
Jake Saper Mar 10, 2025 ▶ 10:34 Jake Saper, GP @ Emergence Capital: "We Sold Salesforce Early and Lost Out on Billions" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Saper: Private equity typically pays 3x to 5x ARR for acquisitions
“Savior is too strong of a word because most private equity outcomes don't generate incredible returns for the VC. So savior is not the right. It may be savior in the sense that like would get your money back. The sales loft outcome was an awesome one, but that…”
Jake Saper Mar 10, 2025 ▶ 13:52 Jake Saper, GP @ Emergence Capital: "We Sold Salesforce Early and Lost Out on Billions" · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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