The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Cohen: Nobody will use Concur, Amex GBT, or Salesforce by 2028
“In five years from now, nobody is using, going to use Conquer and Emacs. Nobody, by the way, nobody is going to use Salesforce.”
Ariel Cohen Feb 8, 2023 ▶ 24:12 Ariel Cohen: The Death of Salesforce; How OpenAI is Changing the Travel Industry | 20VC #975 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Salesforce has more Agentforce AI demand than it can service
“I'm long on Salesforce. The simple reason, and I know this being super deep on agent force and everything, is unlike a lot of folks on this list, they have more demand than they can service.”
Jason Lemkin Mar 12, 2026 ▶ 1:18:35 Anthropic vs The Pentagon: Who Wins? | The Data Center Arms Race | The Ultimate Stock Picks · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Dines: Salesforce and SAP Will Limit AI Agents to Own Platforms
“What's the interest of Salesforce to provide amazing connections to SAP and vice versa? No, it's not. So they will focus on building agents that work specifically for workloads that stay within their platforms.”
Daniel Dines Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 21:18 Daniel Dines, UiPath CEO & Founder: Why Agents Do Not Mean RPA is F*** | E1240 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Benioff: Salesforce is San Francisco's largest philanthropist, donating $250M+
“Salesforce is now San Francisco's largest philanthropist. And we've given more than a hundred million dollars to the children's hospital and more than a hundred and fifty million dollars to the public schools.”
Marc Benioff Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 23:17 Marc Benioff: The Future of San Francisco and What He Would Do if in Charge | E1064 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Cohen: Salesforce and SAP revenues are currently declining, not growing
“If I look at the numbers, I think both Salesforce and SAP actually specifically now are not growing and in fact declining, right?”
Ariel Cohen Feb 8, 2023 ▶ 31:53 Ariel Cohen: The Death of Salesforce; How OpenAI is Changing the Travel Industry | 20VC #975 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
CrowdStrike was the third fastest-growing enterprise software company to IPO
“I think we were the third fastest growth company to ever IPO behind like Zoom and Salesforce.”
George Kurtz Oct 14, 2021 ▶ 11:09 20VC: Crowdstrike Founder, George Kurtz on Scaling to a $60Bn Market Cap, How to Acquire and Retain the World's Best Talent & The Right Way to View Competition in Today's Market?
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Core CRM accounts for only 14% of Salesforce revenue
“When most folks hear about Salesforce, they think it's CRM, it's 14% of their revenue, ok?”
Jason Lemkin Apr 23, 2026 ▶ 1:23:03 Cursor Acquired for $60BN | Anthropic Hits $1TRN in Secondary Markets & Figma, Adobe, Canva Dead? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
George: Salesforce, Workday, and ServiceNow command market cap in B2B
“In B to B, you know, Salesforce, Workday, ServiceNow, they command almost all the market cap in their respective markets.”
David George Feb 9, 2024 ▶ 24:58 20VC: Doug Leone, Bill Ackman, Bill Gurley and Orlando Bravo on "Does Price Matter"; When to Pay Up vs When to Stay Disciplined, The Biggest Lessons on Price Discipline from 8 of the World's Best Investors
Assertion Contradicted
Benioff: Salesforce built the first AI operating without seeing customer data
“We were really the first AI that was built where it was able to operate on the data without us seeing the data.”
Marc Benioff Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 1:59 Marc Benioff: The Future of San Francisco and What He Would Do if in Charge | E1064 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: HubSpot is 2.8x More Revenue-Efficient Than in 2021
“HubSpot, 2.8 times more efficient than 20 21. Salesforce, two times.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 4, 2025 ▶ 33:20 Eventbrite Sold for $500M, Databricks $5B Raise at $134B Valuation & Why SaaS is Like Japan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Lemkin: Salesforce's revenue growth has decelerated to 7 percent
“It's not that fun to see Salesforce now decelerating to seven percent.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 24, 2024 ▶ 12:07 Jason Lemkin: Crowdstrike, WTF Happens From Here? Wiz Rejects Google’s $23BN Acquisition Offer|E1181 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Salesforce created $48M in daily shareholder value during its second decade
“Over that same period of time, they had generated something like forty eight million dollars of shareholder value”
Matthew Prince Oct 16, 2023 ▶ 1:05:28 Matthew Prince: The Two Biggest Mistakes Every Founder Makes | E1072 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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