The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Cristóbal Valenzuela: AI models are not a competitive moat
“I think models are not a mode. Models eventually don't matter. What matters most is the people building those models, and how fast can you change and learn from those models.”
Cris Valenzuela Nov 24, 2023 ▶ 5:34 The Ultimate AI Roundtable: What Happens Now in AI, Why Google are Vulnerable | E1085 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Runway CEO Cris Valenzuela argues user interfaces matter less in early AI
“One that I've been thinking a lot about is UIs don't matter as much.”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 11:32 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Cris Valenzuela says Runway rejected OKRs despite investor recommendations
“At some point we thought, oh, we need, like, OKRs and systems because some, an investor told me once that that's the way companies do it. We tried and I was like, this is no. Why? This is the worst thing you can do right now. It's like, you don't need this.”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 36:07 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Runway operates with just 55 employees to maintain its speed advantage
“We're a small team. We're 55 people, so we move super fast, and that's, that really matters. That's a competitive advantage.”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 30:07 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Runway rejected a term sheet over a misaligned vision with the investor
“I had an investor that gave us a term sheet and we have them describe what Runway was, and we're like, that's not what we're doing. Just, I love your term sheet, beautiful valuation, everything else, but I don't wanna, that's not gonna work. I don't think we'r…”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 38:30 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Founders should raise maximal runway before Series A to maintain leverage
“I believe that the reality is that you want as much runway as possible in order to have as much leverage when you get into that A round.”
Dan Scheinman May 21, 2018 ▶ 12:27 20VC: Why The Days of Spray and Pray at Seed Are Over, How To Compete In A World of Sequoia Seed Funds & Why Price Doesn't Matter with Dan Scheinman, Angel Investor @ Zoom & Arista Networks
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Flexport's $65M Series B Provided Seven Years of Runway
“It's about seven years of runway right now.”
Ryan Petersen Dec 2, 2016 ▶ 16:18 20VC: Flexport's Ryan Petersen on Why Investor Relations Are Overrated, Why Boards Have To Be Rethought & Why MBAs Do Not Make Bad Entrepreneurs
Disclosure
Chirls passed on Hugging Face and Runway at the pre-seed stage
“I miss both hugging face and runway at pre-seed which is painful that both, both New York companies absolutely represent the thing I'm describing, which is they were building things before anyone actually cared.”
Nicholas Chirls Sep 6, 2024 ▶ 1:05:59 Nicholas Chirls: Why Big VCs Ruin Startups, VC is a Ponzi Scheme Today & Most VCs are Bankers |E1198 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Cris Valenzuela says being an outsider drives creativity by merging disparate domains
“I think being a, an outsider is both a blessing and a curse in the sense that it allows you to really reason from first principles. You discover everything and ask yourself why a lot. At the same time, you take longer than other people because you're just expe…”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 4:19 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Cris Valenzuela says over-indexing on credentials was his biggest hiring mistake
“A lot of the mistakes I've done in the past on hiring is that we focus too much on credentials or past experiences or people who came from all these lofty universities or companies and not on the folks who were hungry and who just wanted to do things.”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 31:04 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Runway has proprietary generative AI models it may never open source
“And at the same time, we have more proprietary models as well, then we might never open source.”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 29:05 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cris Valenzuela Built a Neural Network From Scratch Before Starting Runway
“What I did before trying anything was I built from the ground up a neural network every single layer, every single function, activation function in between I curate the dataset, I train the model, and I built everything that I, Could get me a sense of how the …”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 8:48 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Runway Updates Generative AI Models on a Weekly Cadence
“These days it's on a weekly cadence.”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 25:04 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Adding frame previews dramatically increased usage of Runway's Gen-2 model
“We've released only a couple of days ago, this idea you can preview frames. And so when you generate videos, sometimes you're in the dark because you don't know exactly what might come out of it. It would be great if you can preview what's going on while the m…”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 16:30 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Runway extended its Gen-2 video generation limit to 18 seconds
“And today we're recording this. We, you just change it. You can now generate 18 seconds.”
Cris Valenzuela Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 14:16 Cris Valenzuela: AI Creators vs Hollywood Writers; How We Grew Runway into a $1.5B Company | E1054 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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