why aren't all 33 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Tenev denies Robinhood colluded with hedge funds to restrict meme stock trading
“The idea that somehow the most wrong thing was this allegation of collusion that we're somehow colluding with hedge funds that we have no business relationship with to somehow restrict buying of these stocks. Yeah, I think that was just wrong.”
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood enabled private stock tokenization without target company opt-in
“And so I think it's important for the tokenization mechanism to work. Without the opt-in of the companies that, that are being tokenized. And I think that's actually the innovation that we've been able to drive. Like we can, we figured out how to make this wor…”
Assertion Supported
Vlad Tenev: Robinhood received a $3B deposit demand during GameStop saga
“We got this we got this bill in the automated clearinghouse system for three billion dollars.”
Prediction Held up
Tenev: Robinhood will offer home cash delivery using on-demand logistics
“We're going to solve that problem by combining the logistics of on-demand delivery with all the work that we're doing in finance. And you'll, you'll get cash delivered to your house.”
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Allegations of Robinhood colluding with Citadel were disproved
“People thought there was this whole collusion narrative with Citadel that ended up being disproved”
Assertion Supported
Hecker: Trade Republic grew users and assets while Robinhood lost users in 2022
“So they are churning monthly active users, they're churning assets, they're churning activity. At the same time, TraderPublic has growing active numbers of customers, has growing assets, and has new savings plans. And by the way, nobody is quitting their savin…”
Prediction Held up
Tenev: Robinhood stablecoin interest products will generate significant revenue
“Well, if we as we get stablecoin out, Crypto will have that as well. You'll be able to earn interest on your stable coins, and that'll be a significant business.”
Prediction Held up
Tenev: Robinhood will enable 24/7 token trading via Bitstamp and direct DeFi self-custody
“And the second phase is we put these tokens on Bitstamp. Our exchange. And so then you can trade the tokens directly against other cryptos and also dollars. And that needs stage one because we need to have a supply of a significant number of these tokens minte…”
Prediction Held up
Tenev: Robinhood's end state includes checking accounts for paychecks
“I do think that the end state of Robinhood involves the current account as well. Like we have to get people's paycheck. It's just easier that way if you can Have everything go through Robin Hood.”
Assertion Supported
Vlad Tenev: Robinhood's market valuation dropped below cash reserves in 2022
“Yeah, I mean, I want to say being public through twenty-twenty-two, seeing our stock go from, I don't know what it was in twenty-twenty-one, irrationally high perhaps, but it was still high after we went public, down to being worth below cash was a very-”
Assertion Supported
Robinhood raised $3.5 billion in five days
“You know, they had to raise a ton of money in a short period of time, and without missing a beat, I think they raised 3.5 billion dollars in five days start to finish.”
Assertion Supported
Rick Yang: Robinhood spent two and a half years building tech before public launch
“This company spent two plus years prior to actually launching to the public of just building, just heads down building. And this was done during a time where Everybody was really adopting that lean startup mentality of like launch first and then build and iter…”
Assertion Supported
Chris Sacca day-traded student loans to $12M before losing it all
“So I very famously took my student loan checks for law school, told the school they hadn't shown up, cash them, and use them to day trade in the market. And so this is one of the reasons why I get so nervous about what I see in the Robin Hood phenomenon. You k…”
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood's clearinghouse VAR charge increased tenfold in a few days
“You looked at what the VAR charge was on Monday versus Wednesday, and it was something like a TEDx increase just in a couple of days.”
Prediction Held up
Tenev predicts Robinhood will be global and ubiquitous in America by 2025
“So I think the Robin hood of five years from now will be global. It will be ubiquitous in the U S if we are successful, it'll kind of shatter the taboos that we have around finance and financial services.”
Assertion Supported
Bhatt: Robinhood users are 20 to 30 years younger than competitors'
“The consumers that use products like Fidelity, E-Trade, Scottrade, a lot of our competitors, our customers are on average, 20 to 30 years younger than those consumers.”
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Robinhood has nine products generating over $100M revenue each
“Nine products do over a hundred million in revenue.”
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood Tokenizes Traditional Assets 1-to-1 on Blockchains
“We have some traditional assets in a box. We tokenize that one for one, and the tokens actually get put on blockchains where they're tradable.”
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood's instant withdrawal feature generates nine-figure annual revenue
“I wanna say this is nine figures.”
Assertion Supported
Robinhood operates eight business lines each generating $100M+ annually
“So now Robinhood has eight business lines that generate a hundred million a year or more in revenue.”
Assertion Supported
Brex Built Its Enterprise Platform in One Year to Acquire Major Clients
“And it took us, you know, a year to get something that worked. And that's how, you know, ultimately, we closed customers like DoorDash, like Coinbase, like Robinhood, you know, like all these large enterprise customers that would not have traditionally come to…”
Assertion Supported
Robinhood is the only financial company with an Apple Design Award
“It's only financial company that won the Apple Design Award.”
Assertion Supported
Tenev: The NYSE floor is a media center; trading happens in NJ
“There's no human component to it anymore. The floor of the New York Stock Exchange is a media center and all of the actual trading infrastructure is, is across the river in New Jersey. And so the cost of it is, is very, very low.”
Assertion Supported
Robinhood's viral waitlist launched accidentally after a viral Reddit post
“Somebody found that way to Robinhood free stock trading. Posted it on Reddit, so it's like a Friday night, and then all of a sudden we're like, man, we're getting a lot of traffic, where is this coming from? So we actually hooked up Google Analytics, which tha…”
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Robinhood makes underwriting debut listed 18th on Oura's IPO
“One is this Robin Hood's first role as an underwriter. They're listed 18th and last.”
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Robinhood market cap grew from $35B to $85B in eight months
“When you were last in that chair, you had a market cap of thirty five billion. And today I think the market cap is about eighty five billion dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Vlad Tenev: Robinhood Was Uncompetitive on Margin Rates Until Recent Cut
“We were frankly not very competitive with our margin product in the US up until recently, and then we changed our rates.”
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood was the top App Store app during GameStop surge
“Robinhood was the number one app in the app store. And my feeling at the time was, you know, everyone was sort of like, Wow, you should be really happy. You're the number one app in the app store ahead of Instagram and TikTok. Not just financial app, but every…”
Assertion Supported
Tenev: Robinhood options market share grew nearly 20% last year
“Options was up 20%, close to 20% last year. Equities up 14%.”
Assertion Supported
Robinhood founders built high-frequency trading software before Occupy Wall Street pivot
“So they had built software for high-frequency trading firms, and you saw sort of this shift in their founding story when they kind of realized that they were part of the problem that was starting to manifest itself at the time with Occupy Wall Street, really t…”
Assertion Supported
Robinhood raised $5.6 billion total, including a $2.4 billion emergency round
“To date, Vlad has raised over 5.6 billion dollars with Robin Hood, including a 2.4 billion dollar raise just this month, and some of their investors include the likes of Ribbit, Sequoia, Green Oaks, Index, IVP, Thrive, GV, and more incredible names.”
Assertion Supported
Yang: Robinhood was Vlad Tenev and Baiju Bhatt's third venture together
“That's where I first spent time with Vlad, got really excited about what they were building and really hearing the founding story behind him and Beiju coming together for a third time, actually for Robin Hood.”
Assertion Supported
Robinhood backed by Andreessen, Google Ventures, Index, and Slow Ventures
“Well, they were invested in by the likes of Andreessen, Google Ventures, Index, Slow Ventures, and many more of the world's best.”