why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Disclosure
Lemkin: SaaStr Has Never Done Competitive Diligence Since First Investment
“I only did it once on my first investment in pipe drive and I give up. I've never done it. I've never reached out to a competitor. I've never done any competitive diligence, right? Not once.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Lemkin: Private Equity Firms Will Lose Money on Bubble-Era Software Buyouts
“Yeah. I think they'll lose money on, on, on these deals.”
Prediction Held up
McLoughlin predicts Pipedrive will be worth hundreds of millions or billions
“I think that's going to be a business which is worth many hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars in the future”
Disclosure
Lemkin reveals 2013 Pipedrive seed terms and $1.5B exit outcome
“When I invested in pipe drive in 2013, my first investment It was 16 pre at 1.2 million ARR. Okay. Growing nine percent a month. Okay. And we argued over the price. Now, pros and cons, but it did exit for a billion and a half.”
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: First five VC investments all achieved unicorn valuations
“And I did five real unicorns in my first 13 months, right? I did pipe drive, which exited for like 1.25 billion. And then I'll go, it was my second. That's where 2.5 billion will IPO next year. I did talk to us worth ten billion. I did Parklet greenhouse, whic…”
Disclosure
Lemkin: Invested in Pipedrive at a $16M Valuation
“When I did that bet in pipe drive, ok? And that was, and I, Did it at sixteen million, right?”
Disclosure
Lemkin: Pipedrive was my first venture investment and sold for $1.5B
“Pipedrive, which was my first venture investment, right? Which eventually sold for a billion and a half, but lost to HubSpot.”
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Pipedrive Sold to Vista Equity Partners for $1.5B Cash
“The first one was pipe drive. They sold for 1.5 billion cash to Vista last year.”
Disclosure
Lemkin invested in Pipedrive, Talkdesk, Algolia, Greenhouse, and Salesloft in 12 months
“I did pipe drive, talk desk, Algolia, greenhouse, and sales loft all within 12 months.”