The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Biilmann: AI custom apps will challenge enterprise SaaS within five years
“And now my timeline is more like five years and 15 years before it's going to be like really relevant.”
Matt Biilmann Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 13:19 20Product: How to Design and Build Products in a World of Agents | Why AI Will Kill Many SaaS Products | What Products Will Thrive and Die in a World of 100M Developers with Matt Biilmann, Co-Founder and CEO @ Netlify
What-if
Parse sold to Facebook too early and would have survived independently
“Yeah, we sold early. I think we had a lot of momentum, something great going. One thing I think people don't realize is the venture market actually really didn't appreciate the type of thing we were doing in the same way that it appreciates it now. You look at…”
Ilya Sukhar Sep 9, 2019 ▶ 28:35 20VC: Matrix's Ilya Sukhar on How The Seed Ecosystem Could Be Optimised, Why The Bar For The Break-Out Series A Has Risen & The Art of Effective Referencing
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Biilmann: Cheaper development will trigger radical surge in custom software demand
“Like I think what we're seeing now is definitely the cost of building custom workflows, custom UIs, custom applications is going to dive down dramatically. And typically that will mean that demand for doing that will Go up radically and people will start build…”
Matt Biilmann Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 9:34 20Product: How to Design and Build Products in a World of Agents | Why AI Will Kill Many SaaS Products | What Products Will Thrive and Die in a World of 100M Developers with Matt Biilmann, Co-Founder and CEO @ Netlify
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Biilmann: Great DX will require great agent experience within five years
“I just don't think anyone can have a great developer experience five years from now, if they don't have a great agent experience.”
Matt Biilmann Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 7:14 20Product: How to Design and Build Products in a World of Agents | Why AI Will Kill Many SaaS Products | What Products Will Thrive and Die in a World of 100M Developers with Matt Biilmann, Co-Founder and CEO @ Netlify
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