The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Lemkin: Klaviyo will be worth close to $10 billion
“Klaviyo is going to be worth, I think, close to ten billion.”
Klaviyo Seed Round Was Raised at a 20x ARR Valuation
“So, you know, I remember asking, I was like, hey, look, I know 10 X is the normal thing. Can we do 20 X? And again, we wasn't really scientific and yeah, I mean, this seed investor we were working with just said, yeah, sure. That sounds good.”
Lemkin: Only two SaaS companies have gone public since late 2021
“I'm concerned that we've only had two SaaS-ish IPOs since twenty-twenty-one. We've only had two since HashiCorp was the last one of the bubble of December of twenty-twenty-one, right? Just got bought for IBM. If only had two, we've only had Klaviyo and Rubrik.”
Lemkin wagers $2,000 that recent tech IPOs stay above IPO price
“I'll say all three are up. I'll go two grand on this one.”
Lemkin: 80% of Klaviyo's revenue is generated through the Shopify ecosystem
“80% of Klaviyo's revenue is off Shopify”
Klaviyo Took 36 Months to Reach $1M in ARR
“For us, we started on January first of 20 12. In year one, we got to a couple thousand dollars in MRR. So say maybe 20,000 dollars in ARR. In year two, we got to a quarter of a million dollars in ARR, which was a huge jump, but we were still, you know, I think…”