The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Lemkin predicts Klaviyo will surpass Shopify in SaaS revenue in years
“They will cross, they will be doing more SaaS revenue than Shopify in a couple years.”
Jason Lemkin May 27, 2024 ▶ 1:13:59 Jason Lemkin: Why Pricing is Worse Than Ever and There is More Funding Than Ever | E1157 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Lemkin: Klaviyo will be worth close to $10 billion
“Klaviyo is going to be worth, I think, close to ten billion.”
Jason Lemkin Sep 20, 2023 ▶ 1:09:42 Is the VC Model Broken? Jason Lemkin, Mike Maples, Eric Paley & Harry Stebbings Debate | E1062 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Klaviyo Seed Round Was Raised at a 20x ARR Valuation
“So, you know, I remember asking, I was like, hey, look, I know 10 X is the normal thing. Can we do 20 X? And again, we wasn't really scientific and yeah, I mean, this seed investor we were working with just said, yeah, sure. That sounds good.”
Andrew Bialecki Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 25:33 Andrew Bialecki: Is Klaviyo the Most Under-Priced Public Company? | E1170 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Only two SaaS companies have gone public since late 2021
“I'm concerned that we've only had two SaaS-ish IPOs since twenty-twenty-one. We've only had two since HashiCorp was the last one of the bubble of December of twenty-twenty-one, right? Just got bought for IBM. If only had two, we've only had Klaviyo and Rubrik.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 26:42 Jason Lemkin: PluralSight S*** the Bed & The Next IPO Candidates | E1160 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Held up
Lemkin wagers $2,000 that recent tech IPOs stay above IPO price
“I'll say all three are up. I'll go two grand on this one.”
Jason Lemkin Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 56:28 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: 80% of Klaviyo's revenue is generated through the Shopify ecosystem
“80% of Klaviyo's revenue is off Shopify”
Jason Lemkin Feb 5, 2026 ▶ 41:00 The SaaS Massacre: Public Market Collapse |Microsoft Lost $360B & NVIDIA’s $100B Dispute with OpenAI
Assertion Partly supported
Bialecki: Klaviyo Waited 10 Years Before Making Its First Price Change
“We did our first price increase, like, basically since we, or first price change you know what was it? I guess last year and that was, like, the first one in, like, 10 years.”
Andrew Bialecki Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 15:37 Andrew Bialecki: Is Klaviyo the Most Under-Priced Public Company? | E1170 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Lemkin: Klaviyo Is Growing 50% at $750M ARR
“Look at Klaviyo for a minute. They're growing. I mean, the growth's come down a little bit, but they're growing, I think, 50% at seven hundred fifty million in ARR.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 20:51 Jason Lemkin: PluralSight S*** the Bed & The Next IPO Candidates | E1160 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Hoffman: Recent tech IPOs will not hold IPO prices by Halloween 2024
“If you're saying, are they all up? I would say, I will say no. I say the chance that they're all up would be very, very would be very low.”
Auren Hoffman Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 56:15 Roundtable #5 with Jack Altman, Auren Hoffman, Jason Lemkin, Harry Stebbings | E1077 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Jason Lemkin bets $10,000 that Klaviyo stock will rise 20% within 12 months
“I'll bet 10 grand to anyone that takes it that Klaviyo, 12 months from when this episode goes out or today, whatever Harry says, trades at 20% or higher from where it is today. I'll bet 10 grand it's 20% or higher.”
Jason Lemkin Oct 11, 2023 ▶ 52:53 Roundtable #4 with Jason Lemkin, Woody Marshall, Deven Parekh, Harry Stebbings | E1071 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Klaviyo Took 36 Months to Reach $1M in ARR
“For us, we started on January first of 20 12. In year one, we got to a couple thousand dollars in MRR. So say maybe 20,000 dollars in ARR. In year two, we got to a quarter of a million dollars in ARR, which was a huge jump, but we were still, you know, I think…”
Andrew Bialecki Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 20:48 Andrew Bialecki: Is Klaviyo the Most Under-Priced Public Company? | E1170 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Klaviyo Raised a $1.5 Million Seed Round Around $1M ARR
“We raised a million and a half dollars and we weren't super, you know formulaic about it.”
Andrew Bialecki Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 24:20 Andrew Bialecki: Is Klaviyo the Most Under-Priced Public Company? | E1170 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Klaviyo Scaled to $50M–$60M ARR Before Raising Post-Seed Funding
“We went like a bunch of years where we probably scaled to about, I think it was around 50,000,060 million in ARR before we raised our next rounds.”
Andrew Bialecki Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 26:45 Andrew Bialecki: Is Klaviyo the Most Under-Priced Public Company? | E1170 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Bialecki: Klaviyo Raised Series A, B, and C Rounds From Single Investors
“When we did our series A, B, C, it was all one investor. By the time you get to the roadshow, you're kind of back to like these party rounds where there's going to be lots of people you're raising from.”
Andrew Bialecki Jun 26, 2024 ▶ 40:10 Andrew Bialecki: Is Klaviyo the Most Under-Priced Public Company? | E1170 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,200 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.