The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Calacanis: Standalone marketing software will disappear by 2026
“In 2026 26, there will be no such thing as marketing software that got Klaviyo public. Marketing sales support have already converged to one agent.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 18, 2025 ▶ 36:01 Will Cursor Kill Figma? Lightspeed Raises $9B & OpenAI’s $1B from Disney & #1 App in App Store · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Lemkin predicts Klaviyo will surpass HubSpot in marketing revenue soon
“They will be soon be doing more marketing revenue than HubSpot.”
Jason Lemkin May 27, 2024 ▶ 1:13:56 Jason Lemkin: Why Pricing is Worse Than Ever and There is More Funding Than Ever | E1157 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Rajaram: Shopify will not build a competing product to Klaviyo
“I don't think Shopify will build it. Shopify is an investor, and Shopify, I think, has decided, at least in my opinion, that this is, Shopify has these things called missions, and I think they've decided this is not part of their mission to build this product.…”
Gokul Rajaram Mar 16, 2026 ▶ 14:00 Gokul Rajaram: How to Analyse for Durability and Defensibility in a World of AI · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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