why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Whatnot Operates Without Product Managers, Jira, or Ticketing Systems
“Because we're in a world where we basically don't have PMs, there's so many decisions and bits of ownership that engineering is required to take control of. We don't have JIRA. No one writes tickets.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Developer-focused SaaS seat pricing faces permanent assault from AI agents
“A lot of their revenue is still developer focused, which, where I think the seat is under assault, a permanent, permanent assault, the seat is.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: AI agents will not use Canva, Jira, or Confluence
“I don't think any chance an agent is going to use Can that I don't think any, there's any chance an agent is going to use Jira or Confluence unless it's forced to, like it has no need for these products.”
Opinion
Reyes: AI startups targeting intermediate Excel and Jira tasks will not survive
“A lot of knowledge work that's related to intermediate tasks, like people operating in Excel and JIRA. That's just not gonna be differentiated. The workflows are very common. And I think that we may not use a lot of tools like that in five to 10 years, so this…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Farquhar: Jira will never be as simple as products built for five-person teams
“We're never going to be as simple as something that, you know, has built from scratch for a five person team.”
What-if
Simons: Atlassian wouldn't be the same company without an early second product
“We added a second products really early in the company's life cycle. That was a very unconventional and risky choice. But I think if I look back, had we not done that, we probably would be a very different company. Who knows? Like if we were just the Jira comp…”
Insight
Simons: Ecosystem extensions drive higher core SaaS product retention
“If they do get access to that and it does solve a problem, it means that both the core product is more valuable to them. And the core product from a retention perspective is even stickier because you've got JIRA and then you have three or four things that are …”
Disclosure
Deel built its own internal JIRA replacement over the last year
“Over the last year, we built our own JIRA-like product internally.”