The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Flanagan: 95% of B2B buying journeys will start in LLMs by 2027
“Google search is one of the best channels we had in B to B. 80% of all purchases started on Google search. It's predicted by 2027, 95% will start in LLM.”
Lemkin: Google Search, Facebook, and Instagram are stronger than ever
“Fast forward today. These are record growth businesses now, right? Google search. We started the show talking about AI overviews and other things. Google search is a better business than it has ever been as is Facebook and Instagram.”
Rory O'Driscoll: ChatGPT will succeed without destroying Google Search
“The likely outcome for me is ChatGP continues to build this compelling consumer product, can command differentiated market, while at the same time Google search does not quote unquote go to zero.”
Ross: Building custom AI chips to rival NVIDIA is like replicating Google
“Going off and saying, I'm gonna build my own AI chip to compete with NVIDIA, It's a little bit like saying, you know, that Google search is pretty nice. Let's go replicate it. It's insane. Like the level of optimization, the level of design and engineering tha…”
Ramaswamy: Enterprise AI Will Feature Specialized Models, Not One Winner
“On the enterprise side, I absolutely see there being all kinds of specializations because so far in whatever the last 50 years, it's not the case that there's been an equivalent of Google search.”
Mollick: AI queries use 100x more energy than Google searches
“And the truth is that AI uses a lot more energy per query. We don't know exactly, probably two orders of magnitude than a Google search, but a lot less orders of magnitude energy than a human doing the same amount of work, right, with a laptop.”
Lehmann: High LLM compute costs prevent killer apps beyond chatbots
“I believe that one of the overlooked areas of the current state of AI and the large language models that we're using is that they're still very expensive. And as a result of that, they're dramatically more expensive than a Google search. And as a result of tha…”
Edwin Chen: ChatGPT Has Replaced 50% of My Google Searches
“I mean, I have felt That maybe 50% of the things I used to Google search, they are replaced by ChatGPT, or they're even better with ChatGPT.”
Chennapragada: Personalizing Google Search based on user profiles failed
“Long story short, that hypothesis didn't pan out, and it turns out that actually the most important signal wants you in something like search is what you specifically or I specifically put in. I mean, other than, like, location, if you, of course, you type in …”