The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
Lemkin: US will ban Chinese AI models just like DJI drones
“If those drones are banned, this is just my bet. I'm betting that the Chinese models are getting banned too. It's, I think if the drones are banned, this one's easier to ban.”
Jason Lemkin Jul 29, 2026 ▶ 22:09 Jensen's Open-Weights Letter | Google Cloud Grows 82% But The Market Tanks
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