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why aren't all 127 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 9 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Databricks reached $5B revenue and is accelerating at 55% growth
“But Snowflake's AI revenue is pretty small. It's a Gentix strategy is just starting, and Databricks rode this to, now they're both at five billion, and Databricks is growing and accelerating at 55% growth.”
Jason Lemkin Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 25:05 Predictions for 2026: Top Buy & Biggest Short | Why Salesforce Could Win & NVIDIA’s Challenges · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Avoiding stock volatility is the primary advantage of staying private longer
“I think the biggest advantage is the avoidance of volatility in your stock price and sort of employee management. And so, you know, I think You know, if you can kind of steadily grow or control your stock price in the private markets, even if it's a slight dis…”
David George Dec 15, 2025 ▶ 10:31 a16z's David George on the Most Controversial Bet at a16z & Do Margins and Revenue Matter in AI? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Lemkin: Anthropic and Databricks will IPO in late 2026
“I think Anthropic and Databricks have an incentive to IPO, as best I understand it. They have an incentive. As Rory said, times are great. And so I think it'll be the, unless, unless, unless the market crashes for some reason, I think they're going to do it wh…”
Jason Lemkin Dec 11, 2025 ▶ 13:20 SpaceX Valued at $800BN & Harvey Raises $160M at an $8BN Price & Netflix Acquires Warner Brothers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Degnan: Databricks grows faster than Snowflake despite lower total revenue
“They're, they are growing faster. They are behind Snowflake, but they are growing faster than Snowflake.”
Chris Degnan Oct 10, 2025 ▶ 32:38 20Sales: Scaling Snowflake from $0-$3BN in ARR | Snowflake vs Databricks: My Biggest Lessons | Why Customer Success is BS and What Replaces It with Chris Chris Degnan
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Databricks acquired database startup Neon for billions
“I mean, Neon got bought for, by Databricks for billions,”
Jason Lemkin Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 48:09 Anthropic's $10B Round, Klarna's IPO, Inside a16z's 72 Deal Seed Investment Machine ft. Marc Benioff · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Benioff: Snowflake, Databricks, and Palantir Foundry each generate $3B-$4B revenue
“When you look at other data clouds, Snowflake, Databricks, Palantir Foundry, they're all in the three to four billion dollar revenue.”
Marc Benioff Aug 28, 2025 ▶ 0:17 Anthropic's $10B Round, Klarna's IPO, Inside a16z's 72 Deal Seed Investment Machine ft. Marc Benioff · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Stebbings: Databricks is undervalued at a 25x revenue multiple
“It actually feels undervalued at 25 X revenue, Given the growth rate, given the fact it's found a lead, given the macro trend where it sits, it really feels like actually very reasonably priced.”
Harry Stebbings Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 4:14 Databricks at $100BN, CoreWeave’s $11B Debt Bet & Nubank’s $2.5B Profit Shocker - Ep.19 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
O'Driscoll: A 25x revenue multiple requires two more years of 50% growth
“If you're paying 25 X runway for anything, you know, what you're really saying is, you know, the only thing, you know, for sure is that when things level out in growth rate, they get valued like normal companies. So implicit in that is some statement about how…”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 4:33 Databricks at $100BN, CoreWeave’s $11B Debt Bet & Nubank’s $2.5B Profit Shocker - Ep.19 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Andreessen Horowitz has invested at least $500M into Databricks
“For that guy, you probably, I'm willing to bet they have the guts of a billion dollars in that deal. Could be wrong. Half a billion at least.”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 17:58 Databricks at $100BN, CoreWeave’s $11B Debt Bet & Nubank’s $2.5B Profit Shocker - Ep.19 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Databricks reached $13M ARR in its first year of enterprise sales
“We did, in our first year, which I think we did 12 or thirteen million ARR, we did two million dollar deals.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 22:15 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Ron Gabrisco predicts Databricks will reach $10 billion in revenue soon
“I think we'll be ten billion in a few years.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 57:23 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Disclosure
Databricks offered free technical resources to early customers spending $100K
“We developed There's a whole thing we call the strategic customer program where we'd be like, hey, if you spend a hundred grand, we'll give you free resource.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 16:30 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Opinion
Ben Horowitz called Databricks his highest-upside portfolio company in 2015
“So I was like looking at Mongo or Square or some of those companies and he was like, yeah, this company called Databricks, it's way earlier stage than anything you're looking at, but it's got the most upside of any company in my whole portfolio.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 4:37 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Disclosure
Databricks has individual customer accounts generating $100M in annual contract value
“Like we have a hundred million dollar accounts.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 34:22 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Disclosure
Ron Gabrisco hired roughly 40 salespeople in his first six months
“Second, I, you know, I hired probably 40 people the first six months, some of the best salespeople from my network, and I was literally just go set up meetings and find out what people will pay for and get the brand out there.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 11:11 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Databricks avoids hiring sales candidates with a pattern of short stints
“Like if they have a bunch of one or two year stints, they're not long for Databricks.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 32:56 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Databricks recently closed a single customer contract worth $190M
“Yeah, we just did one for a hundred and ninety million actually.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 34:51 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Opinion
Ron Gabrisco says Ali Ghodsi is 100x better than other technical founders
“He's a hundred X better than any of them because he can do the technical stuff, but he's also an inspirational leader and he knows the business.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 5:34 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Databricks recently held an analyst summit and is IPO-ready
“Literally the fact that this last week they had an analyst summit where they went through all their metrics, their revenue, their growth rate through through an entire group of investors and analysts says to me, they will decide one data file and it will just …”
Jason Lemkin Jun 19, 2025 ▶ 49:30 Chime IPO: Are IPOs Hotter Than Ever? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
G Squared is actively buying secondary shares in Anthropic, OpenAI, and Databricks
“A lot. A lot. And I've got appetite for more. Same with OpenAI. Same with Databricks. Wiz.”
Larry Aschebrook Jun 16, 2025 ▶ 1:25:18 Larry Aschebrook, Founder & MP @GSquared: How We Lost Money on Uber and Made Millions on Lyft · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: The IPO window is always open for $50B companies
“Look, the window is, was, and always has been open for Databricks and Stripe. They just don't want to go through the window, right? There's no, like, The windows open and shut for the two billion dollar market cap IPO. The window is always open for the fifty b…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 12, 2025 ▶ 10:47 Elon’s Empire: SpaceX, Tesla, Neuralink After the Storm & Anduril’s $2.6BN Power Move · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Lemkin: Databricks acquired Postgres database startup Neon for $1B
“Databricks bought its own Postgres database company Neon for a billion.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 5, 2025 ▶ 1:06:17 Is DPI The Only Thing That Matters? with Sam Lessin, Jason Lemkin & Rory O’Driscoll · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Capital flows to venture will fall if major IPOs stay delayed
“If on the other hand, if those keep pushing out, then at some point it becomes really hard to have all this money in private illiquid assets when you have pressures on your endowment and all that. And then at that point you would see the money go down.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 17, 2025 ▶ 1:04:44 a16z's $20BN Fund & Founders Fund's $4.6BN & Why Josh Kushner Has Mastered the Game · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Baillie Gifford maintained pro rata in Databricks' $60B round without doubling down
“Remember we did our pro rata in the sixty billion round, which is a little bit different from saying we're doubling down, right? So it's, we stood our hand, we put a small amount of extra capital into it, but we didn't double down in the 60 round.”
Peter Singlehurst Mar 19, 2025 ▶ 38:55 Peter Singlehurst: Lessons from Turning Down Stripe, Coinbase and Losing Money on Northvalt · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Bookman: Databricks and Stripe raised massive rounds primarily for employee liquidity
“They're raising, Databricks is raising most of that to deliver secondary to employees, including to deal with some tax issues, and I know that's what Stripe did, and Josh, I think, is doing most of these.”
Zachary Bookman Dec 6, 2024 ▶ 1:01:14 Zachary Bookman: Why Valuations and Fundraising are BS | E1235 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Many join Databricks solely because it is perceived as hot
“Look at Databricks, right? Like Databricks is hiring lots of people. Some might argue too many people. I, we'll see how that plays out. But A lot of people are just going to Databricks because it's a hot company, or so they think.”
Chad Peets Aug 23, 2024 ▶ 45:10 Chad Peets: Why Most Sales Reps Underperform & Remote Reps Ignore Development | E1193 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lemkin: Mega decacorns will allow top growth funds to hit 3x net
“I think there are, there will be enough stripes and data bricks and open AIs that some growth funds can do three X net or more, and that will get the LPs to re up and that will rearm the decacorn hunters.”
Jason Lemkin Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 53:00 Jason Lemkin: Predictions for 2024 - What Does a Trump Administration do for Startups? | E1099 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Disclosure
Meyer: Databricks CEO Ali Ghodsi insists on deep founder involvement in product work
“And I tried that for the first six months at Databricks. And that's not what Ali wanted to hear. He didn't want me to go off and do something and then show him how awesome it was. You know, he wanted to be deeply involved and have the founders deeply involved …”
David Meyer Nov 1, 2023 ▶ 1:10:25 David Meyer: Why You Should Hire People Who Aren’t In Product Already | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Meyer: Be collective customer obsessed, never listen to feature design requests
“People like to talk about being customer obsessed. But I think of there's the customer, and then there's the collective customer. So you have to be collective customer obsessed. So you never want to overfit to a customer because then it'll be a tiny town, righ…”
David Meyer Nov 1, 2023 ▶ 8:04 David Meyer: Why You Should Hire People Who Aren’t In Product Already | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Meyer: Speed of Learning Matters More Than Speed of Shipping
“Like, speed of learning is everything. But that doesn't mean shipping. That doesn't mean, you know, people talk about one-way doors, Two-way doors, type one, type two decisions, and all this stuff. Like, the key is maximizing your learning curve, and there's s…”
David Meyer Nov 1, 2023 ▶ 15:17 David Meyer: Why You Should Hire People Who Aren’t In Product Already | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Meyer: Unemotional product management only works for incremental optimization
“That's great if you're doing something incremental. If you're like, let's grow revenue 10% on a product that has product market fit. Yeah, you can be, you can have no emotion then. A lot of the job is not about speccing the product and building the product. A …”
David Meyer Nov 1, 2023 ▶ 27:01 David Meyer: Why You Should Hire People Who Aren’t In Product Already | E1076 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Ghodsi: Jack-of-all-trades talent essential early, harmful in later stages
“In the early phases, you're looking for these people that are just really smart. They can figure things out, and they can roll up their sleeves, and just pretty much do anything. They can do a decent job at pretty much anything. Those are the kind of people th…”
Ali Ghodsi Jan 14, 2021 ▶ 10:32 20VC: Databricks CEO, Ali Ghodsi on The 3 Phases of Startup Growth, How to Evaluate Risk and Downside Scenario Planning & Who, What and When To Hire When Scaling Your Go-To-Market
Insight
Ghodsi: Finance leaders are crucial early GTM counterbalances to sales spending
“The finance function will be a counterbalance. So find the right finance leader that works well with your sales leader to make sure that there are checks and balances. Finance leader will make sure that the bottom line also still works out, that you're not bur…”
Ali Ghodsi Jan 14, 2021 ▶ 21:59 20VC: Databricks CEO, Ali Ghodsi on The 3 Phases of Startup Growth, How to Evaluate Risk and Downside Scenario Planning & Who, What and When To Hire When Scaling Your Go-To-Market
Insight
Ghodsi rejects gut instinct, favoring cerebral processes for startup decisions
“I don't believe in gut feeling. This is just my personal sort of leadership style. When people tell me, you know, ultimately you have to have a gut check and you make that gut decision and ultimately you sleep on it and the answer comes to you and so on. I don…”
Ali Ghodsi Jan 14, 2021 ▶ 34:18 20VC: Databricks CEO, Ali Ghodsi on The 3 Phases of Startup Growth, How to Evaluate Risk and Downside Scenario Planning & Who, What and When To Hire When Scaling Your Go-To-Market
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
O'Driscoll: a16z DOJ board investigation will resolve by exiting Fivetran board
“But my guess is it peters out into some version of the venture firm just saying, we'll take off the board member on Fivetrans, whatever, right?”
Rory O'Driscoll Aug 20, 2026 ▶ 1:13:27 Stripe's $8B OpenRouter Bet | Anthropic's First Profit & The Math Behind Reaching $600B in Revenue?
Insight
O'Driscoll: Cost per completed task matters more than cost per token
“I'm trying to, the big picture at the start was the basic point is, you know, cost per token is really not a useful metric. It's kind of cost per completed task was the first thing. How much does it cost to get things done?”
Rory O'Driscoll Jul 16, 2026 ▶ 17:00 Zuckerberg Back on X Challenging Codex & Claude Code | SK Hynix’s $26BN IPO · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Arora: Snowflake, Glean, and Databricks are reshaping analytics with LLM data lakes
“I think the analytic world is getting reshaped already where you can see people like Snowflake or Glean or Databricks. All these people boast enterprise data lakes where you can bring the data and run LLMs against it and get you much more synthesized analytics…”
Nikesh Arora Jun 22, 2026 ▶ 53:49 Nikesh Arora on the Frontier Model Problem: Breadth vs Depth | The Future of Token Costs · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Databricks raised privately at $165B, up from $134B
“Databricks come out today. No, no. We're going to do another round. We're going to do another round. One hundred and sixty five billion price up from one hundred and thirty four billion earlier this year.”
Harry Stebbings Jun 11, 2026 ▶ 1:06:38 SpaceX Launches Largest Ever IPO | OpenAI Files to Go Public | Uber Cuts 23% of HR · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Lindquist: Databricks breached Snowflake accounts by taking small initial footholds
“You see, I saw this with Snowflake and Databricks, right? Snowflake would own everything, and then Databricks would get one small foothold somewhere, and suddenly now they're fighting over the same workloads, and someone's going to win that.”
Becca Lindquist May 2, 2026 ▶ 42:27 Inside Clay's Sales Playbook | Becca Lindquist · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Lindquist: Snowflake and Databricks comp reps on net revenue to defend workflows
“You look at like a Snowflake or a Databricks, that's their model, and it's because they're competing over workflows in the account.”
Becca Lindquist May 2, 2026 ▶ 51:06 Inside Clay's Sales Playbook | Becca Lindquist · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Swisher: Investors passed on Snowflake and Databricks early rounds over low margins
“Snowflake and Databricks. Very low margin early. A lot of people passed on those early rounds because they're, ah, in SaaS, you have to have 80% gross margin.”
Lucas Swisher Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 33:48 Insights from Coatue's Growth Investor Lucas Swisher · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
O'Driscoll: Thrive executed exceptional stock-picking with Stripe, Databricks, OpenAI
“I mean, I think, we said it in one of the shows earlier on, Thrive has done an amazing stock picking job of backing Stripe, of backing Databricks, of backing OpenAI, and of backing them at scale.”
Rory O'Driscoll Feb 19, 2026 ▶ 1:11:02 Thrive Raises New $10B Fund | OpenAI Buys OpenClaw | Stripe at $140B: Is Adyen Wildly Undervalued? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Lemkin: Going public enables Databricks to execute tens of billions in M&A
“Maybe at some point, even if you're Revolut, if you really want to do deals for real, it's, there are limits to private stock in cash, and if Databricks goes public, and it's worth two to three times Snowflake, it can buy, it may be able to buy the parts of it…”
Jason Lemkin Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 1:14:44 Groq’s $20BN NVIDIA Deal | Why Sam Altman Doesn’t Care About Dilution & Invisible Unemployment 2026 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: Databricks and Snowflake Will Fight Fiercely for 10 Years
“They're going to struggle and fight against each other for the next 10 years, just like SAP and Oracle fought against each other for the last 20.”
Rory O'Driscoll Dec 4, 2025 ▶ 10:35 Eventbrite Sold for $500M, Databricks $5B Raise at $134B Valuation & Why SaaS is Like Japan · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Open · timeframe Aug 2025
Lemkin: Databricks crossed $4B in revenue while growing at 50%
“Databricks just said they're crossing four billion, growing 50.”
Jason Lemkin Aug 21, 2025 ▶ 4:02 Databricks at $100BN, CoreWeave’s $11B Debt Bet & Nubank’s $2.5B Profit Shocker - Ep.19 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Databricks currently has 5,000 total sales employees and 1,400 quota-carrying reps
“We have 1400 reps now. We have 5000 people in sales.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 37:30 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Assertion Contradicted
Databricks generated $3 billion in revenue last year
“We just did three billion last year.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 57:21 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Databricks will fund $200M in partner projects this year
“You know, we'll fund two hundred million in projects to partners this year, but I would spend even more on partners and distribution.”
Ron Gabrisko Aug 4, 2025 ▶ 1:00:42 20Sales: $0-$3.7BN: The Databricks CRO's Playbook to Build the Fastest GTM Engine in SaaS History | How Databricks Beat Snowflake | How To Build a Sales Org of 5,000 and Close $190M Deals with Ron Gabrisko
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