why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Jordan: Home Service Marketplaces Fail Due to Low Frequency and Leakage
“I think there is a real issue with leakage. The other is a issue with frequency except for lawn care and home cleaning. Almost all services are very, very infrequent and it's, it was very hard to build a brand.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2021
Hamid: Airbnb Will Become a Property Manager and Housing Platform
“I think over time, Airbnb is probably going to take over, like, where people just live. Like, they will become the property manager for people who own homes, and it will become the place, like, the Craigslist for people who want to find a home.”
Insight
Jordan: Unbundling Craigslist for home services fails due to low frequency
“I think there is a real issue with leakage. The other is a issue with frequency except for lawn care and home cleaning. Almost all services are very, very infrequent and it's, it was very hard to build a brand.”
Assertion Supported
McCloskey hired StyleSeat's first engineer via equity-only Craigslist ad
“I found my first engineer by posting an ad on Craigslist and saying, I'm stealth company seeks engineer to build first version of product for equity, only no money. And believe it or not, that actually resulted in a fantastic engineer from Google who had made …”
Opinion
Kadavy: Craigslist's local liquidity makes it unseatably defensible despite terrible UX
“The Craigslist user experience is terrible. However, because they have such liquidity in local markets, They're incredibly difficult to unseat.”
Opinion
Nakache saw huge gap between Craigslist and expensive nanny agencies
“Felt to me like there was a big opportunity for service that provided more vetting than a Craigslist, but was way less expensive than an agency.”
Disclosure
Whatnot Pivoted From Craigslist Alternative to Collectibles in Two Weeks
“We were going to start a better full service Craigslist. Two weeks in, I was validating the business model, and I was like, we can't make money from this business. We have to change. And then we switched over to building a collectibles marketplace.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Elena Verna pursued SurveyMonkey for eight months before getting hired
“I applied for SurveyMonkey position off Craigslist, and they didn't want to hire me. I pursued them for eight months, trying to get them to make a decision on me, after which I finally convinced them to take a chance on me and give me a job.”