The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Lloyd: Warp has 700,000 users, outpacing Claude Code and OpenAI Codex
“We have way, way more users than Cloud Code, for instance, or Codex. We have 700,000 users because we've been doing this for Five years.”
Zach Lloyd Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 27:58 20VC: The Startup Adding $1M ARR Every Week | Competing Against OpenAI's Codex and Claude Code: Who Wins | Why Gemini is Failing and GPT-5 Is Winning | Do Margins Matter in a World of AI | The Ugly Truth About AI Coding with Zach Lloyd, Warp
Assertion Partly supported
Calacanis: Replit builds features with Claude Sonnet and verifies code via Codex
“Replit, if you have a complex feature, Replit builds it in Claude, Sonnet, not Open, it builds it in Sonnet to save money, and then it has Codex come in and check the work. It has both of them.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 36:52 Anthropic Files to Go Public | Cognition Raises $1BN at $26BN Valuation | The 996 Work Ethic · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: AI compute constraint will be a major bottleneck in 2026 and 2027
“But now it looks like compute constraint is a real thing in 26 and early 27. You have that asset. Maybe you figure out how to deploy that aggressively with Codex. So there's buttons you can press, there's things you can do if you focus and do them.”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 27:30 OpenAI Buys TBPN & Their Management Team Reboot | Mercor Hack & Why Now is the Time for Cyber · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Emberikos: OpenAI recently accelerated API model serving by 40 percent
“So we recently rolled out a change where in the API, like, those models are served, like, 40% faster, and in Codex they're served, like, a quarter fast, 25% faster.”
Alexander Emberikos Feb 21, 2026 ▶ 15:45 OpenAI's Codex Lead: Why Coding as We Know It is Over · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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