The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 5 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Lemkin: SpaceX, Canva, Databricks, and Anthropic will IPO in 2026
“I think we see four IPOs backloaded next year. SpaceX goes out first. Canva comes out of nowhere second. Databricks does it in the back half of the year because it's just time. Anthropic does it at the end of the year. OpenAI probably should have gone first, b…”
Jason Lemkin Dec 22, 2025 ▶ 0:00 Predictions for 2026: Top Buy & Biggest Short | Why Salesforce Could Win & NVIDIA’s Challenges · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2029
O'Driscoll: Canva and Rippling won't fetch 30x revenue premiums
“Good SaaS companies that aren't AI first are going to trade at fair value, which means if you've created value, you'll get value. And I think Canva and Rippling have both created enormous value. So they'll get value, but what they won't get is that stupid, 30 …”
Rory O'Driscoll Apr 30, 2026 ▶ 18:27 Anthropic Raises $45B but Falls Short on Compute & Thoma Bravo Hand Back Medallia Keys to Creditors · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2028
Obrecht: Canva at $42B Valuation Is Barely 10x Revenue
“Well, that's barely 10 X for us. We sound very cheap.”
Cliff Obrecht Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 4:14 Anthropic Raises $13BN & OpenAI Buys Statsig for $1.1BN All Stock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Lemkin predicts Canva will go public at $3B revenue
“Canva's going to IPO at three billion in revenue.”
Jason Lemkin Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 50:58 Jason Lemkin: PluralSight S*** the Bed & The Next IPO Candidates | E1160 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2025
Obrecht: Canva's AI Widget Generator Has 20 Million Active Users
“So, so we've got the equivalent of Lovable, it's more for creating widgets and for education purposes, et cetera. It's got twenty million active users already it's going really, really well.”
Cliff Obrecht Sep 4, 2025 ▶ 55:40 Anthropic Raises $13BN & OpenAI Buys Statsig for $1.1BN All Stock · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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