why aren't all 21 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Held up
Rabois: Ramp will beat Brex and become 10x more valuable
“Ramp is absolutely going to be the winner. Probably will be two, three, four, five, 10 times more valuable.”
Assertion Supported
Lazarte: Mercor grew from $1M to $100M revenue in 11 months
“Brex went from like zero to a hundred million dollars in revenue in like in 18 months after launch, and Mercor went from like a million dollars in revenue when I invested to like over a hundred million, like in 11 months.”
Assertion Contradicted
Franceschi: Only Brex, Citi, and Amex offer full global local card settlement
“And today there's three companies on the planet that can do that. Number one is Brex. Number two is Citibank. Number three is American Express. That's it.”
Assertion Contradicted
Blond: Brex Never Used Recruiters to Source Sales Talent
“At Brex, we did not use recruiters, internal or external, to source candidates for the sales organization Ever.”
Prediction Partly held up
Brex will be the world's top corporate credit card by 2024
“I hope Brex in five years is the number one corporate credit card in the world in all industries and all sizes. And I'm still the CEO.”
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Ramp's 40x revenue multiple sharply contrasts Brex's 6x valuation
“Fortyx runway revenues when the comp traded at six in terms of breaks, even albeit on a lower growth rate is a pretty healthy valuation.”
Assertion Supported
O'Driscoll: Ramp hit $1B run rate faster than Brex at $700M
“From an operational perspective, this is further validation that quote unquote, I've won. I started later and I'm doing a billion. They started earlier, they're doing seven hundred million.”
Assertion Supported
Stebbings: Ramp reaches $1B revenue as Brex hits $700M near breakeven
“Ramp is at a billion in revenue. Brax is at 700. They're both around the breakeven to moving profitable phase.”
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Mercury generates $500 million in revenue at a $3.5B valuation
“Brex is like 10, 11. And Mercury's at three and a half, with 500 in revenue”
Prediction Held up
Pedro Franceschi Confirms Brex Will Not Go Public Within the Next Year
“We're not going to go public anytime in the next year. It's something coming in the future, but getting ready for this and having the structure in place sooner probably just acclimates everyone to the way we actually run the company day to day.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Pedro Franceschi intends to take Brex public as CEO
“I definitely want to go through the journey. And I think to realize the potential of Brex I think that's the best path.”
Assertion Supported
Capital One acquires Brex for $5.15B in cash and stock
“Brex's acquisition by Capital One, 5.15 1,000,000,050 percent cash, 50% shares.”
Assertion Partly supported
Franceschi: Brex built its complete financial plumbing in-house without vendors
“We spent so much time in the early years building our whole financial infrastructure from the ground up, like down to the way we talk to MasterCard, down to the way we move money on ACH, down to the way we do, you know, global money movements, settlements, eff…”
Assertion Supported
Brex Pivoted in 2021 to Serve 10,000-Person Enterprise Finance Teams
“And I think we, in 2021, we basically said, we're going to do that really well. So we're going to go to the most complex use case, which is like, how do we serve a 10,000 person company and their finance team and scale that down.”
Assertion Supported
Brex Built Its Enterprise Platform in One Year to Acquire Major Clients
“And it took us, you know, a year to get something that worked. And that's how, you know, ultimately, we closed customers like DoorDash, like Coinbase, like Robinhood, you know, like all these large enterprise customers that would not have traditionally come to…”
Assertion Supported
Sam Blond: Brex Scaled Outbound from Personal Networks to Billboards
“At Brex, we started with personal networks, we moved to investor networks, we moved to YC companies, we moved to former YC companies, we then put billboards up all over San Francisco, and we targeted companies that were headquartered in downtown San Francisco …”
Assertion Supported
Ralston: Brex is one of YC's fastest startups to $1B
“The incredible founders of newer companies like Brex, which is one of our fastest to a billion dollars.”
Assertion Partly supported
Blond: Brex opened a San Francisco restaurant when under 100 employees
“We decided at a very early stage, we were less than a hundred employees, we decided that we were going to open a restaurant and lounge. And so we opened a in South park in San Francisco, we opened a Brex lounge on top of a South park cafe, which was a restaura…”
Assertion Supported
Blond: Brex Hired TaskRabbits to Hand Out $4 SaaStr Breakfast Burritos
“We show up, we had task rabbits outside of the event in Brex t-shirts handing out Brexfist burritos to every single person that walked in the venue. So the first experience that they have at Sastra is they get a Brex burrito on when they walk in. Four bucks a …”
Assertion Supported
Dubugras: Brex employs 1,100 people, including 600 in product and engineering
“We're at scale, you know, we're like 1100 people like EPD org is 600 people.”
Assertion Supported
Matt Mochary's coaching client list includes partners at Benchmark, Sequoia, and Kleiner
“On the VC side, Matt has worked with the likes of Peter Fenton at Benchmark, Several Sequoia partners, Hemond at GC, and Mamoon at Kleiner, to name a few. As for founders, Matt's worked with the founders of Brex, Coinbase, Plaid, Reddit, Flexport, and many mor…”