The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Facebook Will Launch a Crypto Coin and Become Bitcoin's Main Competitor
“Now, I will say also that on crypto, I think that there's a high probability that the company that will really succeed in crypto will be Facebook, and the reason is that for them to launch their own coin and for them to distribute that coin and allow developer…”
Darian Shirazi Apr 6, 2018 ▶ 24:52 20VC: Why Facebook Will Be The Company To Succeed in Crypto, Why Founders Should Be Actively Angel Investing & Commonalities of Great Leadership From Mark Zuckerberg to Mark Pincus with Darian Shirazi, Founder & CEO @ Radius
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Hoffman predicts Bitcoin will approach $200,000 by the end of 2025
“I would say end of 25, so I'm approaching 200,000.”
Reid Hoffman Dec 16, 2024 ▶ 59:11 Reid Hoffman, LinkedIn & Paypal Founder: Trump Administration, Elon Musk and DOGE | E1239 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Maples: Bitcoin will reach $130,000 by the end of 2025
“I'm gonna guess that it gets to a 130.”
Mike Maples Jan 6, 2025 ▶ 1:01:13 Mike Maples: Three Frameworks to Evaluate Startups and Founders | E1242 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Currier in 2017: Bitcoin will exceed $4,000 by December 2018
“It will be above.”
James Currier Dec 13, 2017 ▶ 26:36 20VC: How To Balance Between Vision and Stubbornness, Why Speed Is The Most Important Startup Superpower & The Main Role of A Startup Founder Today with James Currier, Managing Director @ NFX
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chris Dark: Blockchain will fundamentally solve the $500B global remittance industry
“Whether it's Bitcoin or Stellar or whatever that, that, that will fundamentally change remittance around the world, and that's a half a trillion dollar industry or so. So that alone, it absolutely will solve.”
Chris Dark May 4, 2015 ▶ 22:30 20 VC 033: The Pros and Cons of Venture Capital, Atomico and Entrepreneurship with Chris Dark, President International @ C2FO
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