The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Founders who outsource engineering to firms like Accenture are not serious
“When I find a founder that thinks that engineers are somebody you can just do a contract with Accenture or somebody. I'm like, you're not serious about this. Come back. If you decide to get serious.”
Marty Cagan Dec 7, 2022 ▶ 53:38 Marty Cagan: Product Lessons from Steve Jobs and Elon Musk; Why do we idolize engineers? | 20VC #957 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
O'Driscoll: IT consulting and systems integration are prime targets for AI disruption
“The core business they're in that, you know, 99%, 90% of their revenue is other consulting, and there are few markets more primed for disruption by AI than consulting in general, because it's wide-collar work. It's very, it's already been outsourced. That's wh…”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 25, 2026 ▶ 1:05:27 DeepSeek Raises at $50B | The Rise of Open Source vs OpenAI & Anthropic | OpenAI Builds Own Chip · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Levie: Enterprise AI preparation represents 10 years of work for Accenture
“That is like what I just described right now is 10 years of work for Accenture in every enterprise on the planet or the next gen Accenture that does this in particular industries or workflows.”
Aaron Levie Apr 20, 2026 ▶ 32:12 Aaron Levie: Everyone is Wrong; We'll Have More Developers in 5 Years · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Stebbings: IT consultants will out-earn foundation models in short-term revenue
“I think they will be more revenue generative than the foundation model companies in the next two to three years, as they often are in early stages of kind of cycles.”
Harry Stebbings Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 7:53 Anthropic's Super Bowl Ad: Who Won & Lost? | Sierra Hits $150M ARR: Is Customer Support Too Crowded? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Fitzpatrick: Palantir uniquely foresaw the necessity of forward-deployed engineering
“I think I call out Palantir because I think they realized 10 years before the rest of the kind of tech market that forward-deployed engineering and customization would be important, and I think that was a very countercultural leap at the time. You know, I, cau…”
Matt Fitzpatrick Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 49:17 Matt Fitzpatrick: Who Wins the Data Labelling Race & Why Al Needs Forward-Deployed Engineers · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Eisenberg: Outcome-based pricing will rapidly enter the software market
“And I think the consultants like Accenture and McKinsey are the leading edge of this. But I think it's going to come into software very, very quickly.”
Michael Eisenberg Jun 19, 2024 ▶ 21:46 Michael Eisenberg: How China Could Overtake the US in the AI Race | E1167 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Supported
Accenture CTO: Enterprise AI adoption is faster than internet or mobile transitions
“If you talk to Paul Doherty, who is the CTO of Accenture, and he's been at Accenture for three decades, he says he's never seen anything grow this fast inside big businesses, right? So if you think about headcount, think about budget, like any metric you can t…”
Frank Chen Feb 25, 2019 ▶ 8:46 20VC: a16z Partner Frank Chen on The Future of Car Ownership, Whether The High Employee Attrition Rate in The Valley Is A Feature or A Bug & His Biggest Lessons From Netscape, Loudcloud & Opsware
Prediction Not checkable as stated
O'Driscoll: AI efficiency gains will cut white-collar service costs by 20%
“If consulting or any of these companies, any of these white-collar jobs are 20% more efficient with AI, Then everyone should adopt it, and then everyone will be, then the cost of those white-collar jobs, like audit, should be reduced by 20%.”
Rory O'Driscoll Jun 25, 2026 ▶ 42:21 DeepSeek Raises at $50B | The Rise of Open Source vs OpenAI & Anthropic | OpenAI Builds Own Chip · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Partly supported
Stebbings: Accenture posted $2.4B in revenue while OpenAI posted $2B
“Accenture posted 2.4 billion in revenue and OpenAI posted two billion in revenue.”
Harry Stebbings May 22, 2024 ▶ 41:23 Aaron Levie: How the Business Model of SaaS Changes Forever & Startups vs Incumbents:Who Wins?|E1155 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
Wand: Legacy backend costs made pre-cloud insurance startups financially unviable
“Anything you wanted to do in insurance, you needed to set up a full back-end system. I guess you could get companies like Guidewire, get Accenture, get Oracle Database Nine, or whatever was in that sense, you know, the options. That would have cost you hundred…”
Assaf Wand Jan 18, 2019 ▶ 5:11 20VC: Why Every Company Looks One Round Earlier Than It Should Be, Why Investors Don't Understand Term Sheet Psyche & How The Brand Behind The Investor Can Overweight The Attention Their Opinion Is Given with Assaf Wand, Founder & CEO @ Hippo
Disclosure
Gigster's largest software development contract as of 2017 was $2 million
“You see you know, the Accentures and Deloitte's of the world picking up 50 to a hundred million dollar development contracts. Well, largest one we've worked on so far is about two million dollars.”
Roger Dickey Sep 29, 2017 ▶ 24:21 20VC: If You Do Not Like VCs, You Have Not Worked With a Good One, How Andreesen Have Added The Same Level of Value As A Co-Founder, Why Market Is The First Thing To Consider When Angel Investing & Why Series A Is A Hiring Decision with Roger Dickey, Foun
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