Prediction Open certainty 2/5 debate potential 4/5

Morin: AI chip oversupply will lead to GPUs selling at 30% value

Steeve Morin · Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings · Feb 24, 2025 · at 24:31

Steeve Morin is the founder and CEO of ZML. He predicts a GPU oversupply crisis where debt-financed data centers will be liquidated at steep discounts.

0:00 / 0:25exact quote · 25.1s
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“I very much worry there will be an oversupply of these chips. The problem is, is that, you know, remember, the chips are the collateral. So, you know, somewhere, you know, in the US or whatever, there's going to be a data center with like a thousand GPUs that people may buy, you know, 30 cents on the dollar, you know, I don't know, but This is what I, you know, this is what might happen.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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Opinion
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Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 6:08 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
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Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 6:44 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Insight
Morin: GPUs are a clever workaround, not natively built for AI
“GPUs are, you know, are a good trick for AI, but they're not built for AI.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 11:13 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Assertion Contradicted
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“Fundamentally, GPUs cannot deliver, deliver this, plain and simple at scale.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 31:24 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Morin: Nvidia may lose market dominance in AI inference and training
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Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 35:25 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Opinion
Morin: Google TPUs have more mature software and compute than Nvidia
“But AMD can do training, but it's also, but in terms of maturity, the, by far the most mature software and compute is TPUs, and then it's Nvidia.”
Steeve Morin Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 44:10 Steeve Morin: Why Google Will Win the AI Arms Race & OpenAI Will Not | E1262 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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