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Lemkin: Private markets irrationally ignore gross margins when applying ARR multiples

Jason Lemkin · Chime IPO: Are IPOs Hotter Than Ever? · 20VC with Harry Stebbings · Jun 19, 2025 · at 33:28

Jason Lemkin criticizes venture pricing, pointing out that private market investors fail to adjust revenue multiples for different gross margin profiles.

0:00 / 0:46exact quote · 46.0s
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“I still feel like for startups, we're giving Revenue valuations that don't have an adjustment for different ways their comps trade in the private markets. And if ramp is in a space that's two to four X revenue at when it's public or whatever that you could look at the comps three to four, like it, see, that's the part, you know, a lot of FinTech revenue is lower. It's lower margin or we're at the public markets value at lower. And that's the part I don't get in, even in my own portfolio, when I see valuations, That value 80% gross margin products the same as 20, or 30, or 40, and that remains a mystery to me in the private markets, right? Where everyone gets the same ARR valuations, even if the quality of revenue, or even if the public comps are different, right?”

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