Richard Socher, founder of You.com, discusses a 2027 AGI bet made with an OpenAI co-founder requiring affordable household robots, solving a Millennium math problem, and author-approved book translation.
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“We did this bet and in the bet he has to win. I think it ends in 20, 27. So three things have to be true. We have to have a personal robot that cleans the whole house the way my cleaning team does. And it needs to be purchasable, like for reasonable amounts of money. It needs to solve a millennium math problem. And it needs to like translate a book perfectly so that the actual author would be like, that should be my official translation. All three have to be true for him to win the bet. And I will probably still win my thousand dollar bet”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
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More from Richard Socher
Disclosure
Socher: Google deranked You.com across all sites, causing immediate traffic drop
“We just got deranked in all our sites from Google and saw like a drop right away.”
Richard SocherAug 18, 2023▶ 37:53Richard Socher: The 3 Biggest Barriers to Building AGI; AI Startups vs Incumbents | E1050 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
AssertionPartly supported
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AssertionPartly supported
Socher: Prompt engineering was invented at Salesforce Research
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AssertionPartly supported
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“We actually evaluated that they work about 10 to a hundred X worse than search ads and you have. Twice the cost, about.”
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PredictionDidn’t hold up
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AssertionSupported
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Richard SocherAug 18, 2023▶ 21:55Richard Socher: The 3 Biggest Barriers to Building AGI; AI Startups vs Incumbents | E1050 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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