Joon Sung Park (Co-founder & CEO of Simile) recounts his foundational Stanford research creating generative agents prior to founding Simile.
Insight
Park: Simile Optimizes for Human Biases Over Super-Rationality
“So the way we see it is if you look at large length model companies today, fundamentally the task they have at hand is to create super rational, intelligent machines that are good at coding, that are good at natural sciences and mathematics. Similarly doesn't …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Park: AI simulation can help solve wicked problems like climate change
“Simulation I do think can also be a cure for many of what we call quote unquote wicked problems.”
Insight
Park: Simulation models learn by validating daily real-world hypotheses
“I actually think simulation has even better mechanism, which is the world is our ground truth. We live in the ground truth world. So what we can do is every single day, we can be generating tens of thousands of hypotheses. Each hypothesis is mapped onto an end…”
Assertion Supported
Park: Simile models predict human behavior with 85% accuracy
“We show that we can actually predict people's behaviors and attitudes 85% as accurately as people replicate their own.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
Park: Synthetic panels will become larger than the human panel market
“The way I see it, synthetic panels will be larger than our, what we know to be the current human panel market, in part because this can really raise the ceiling of the kind of questions we can answer.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Park: Within three years, single AI simulations will cost $20M
“I actually do think simulation can actually be the next frontier of that, where in my vision, I think there's a world in which in about two, three years, we're running a single simulation session, and that's going to take 10, twenty million dollars to run a si…”