Tom Hulme

39 statements across 2 episodes · 15 bullish · 14 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement May 8, 2024 by Tom Hulme · said 10 times in 5 episodes since 2023 · across every show →

On the record as a speaker too: Tom Hulme's record, appearances and statements → this page counts the times other people say the name.

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Everything said about Tom Hulme, oldest first

May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: Salesmanship is the essential fourth pillar of venture capital
“The fourth S that I increasingly think is important is actually selling salesmanship. Like, great VCs are selling to LPs, they're selling to founders to take their money, and then increasingly, they're also selling to, you know, exec hires to go into portfolio…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 27:37 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Hulme: Absolute conviction in VC investments is irrational and unrealistic
“I don't understand in our industry how anyone can have complete conviction on anything. That makes no sense to me. Like I studied physics at university. We would go through a proof and I still didn't have complete conviction that I got it right. And then now w…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 36:38 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Hulme: Active startup founders raising side funds is concerning
“Now, when you start talking about raising funds, that worries me a lot because building a company is ridiculously hard. Like there's only a handful of people that have ever managed to kind of build multiple companies concurrently. And this idea of having a sid…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 26:07 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Insight
Hulme: Angel investors frequently rely on others to do due diligence
“I think too many people in our industry, particularly angels who have other jobs, full-time jobs, We'll take the view that probably someone else has done the work. I actually think often it's surprising how people haven't done the work.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 17:49 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: Asking founders about product is a lens to evaluate thinking
“I spend a lot of time with founders, and I'll ask them a lot about the product they're going to build. I know that that's probably not what they'll end up being successful with. In fact, empirically, the product often changes a lot. But I'm asking about that p…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 18:50 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Insight
Hulme: Heavy deal structure in venture investments damages businesses
“I think a lot of structure in a deal can actually damage a business.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 7:06 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Insight
Hulme: Premature scaling inflates costs and destroys startup adaptability
“And I think what you're talking about is when the money's used for premature scaling, it's really damaging because costs go up. When your costs go up, ironically, you actually become less adaptable. So your clock speed goes down. So if your primary job in a bu…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 10:40 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 positive
Insight
Hulme: Founders should accept realistic valuations instead of complex deal structures
“I think actually, if you want to maximize value for the business, you're much better off accepting the valuation That's closer to reality in the moment and building from there.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 8:21 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 positive
Insight
Hulme: Founders and VCs should take secondary liquidity to minimize regret
“And my recommendation often to founders, often to VCs is to take some money off the table. It's a classic place. I like to apply a kind of regret minimization framework. Will you regret taking 10% or 20% off the table in this round? Probably not. Will you regr…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 16:19 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Hulme: Virtual event platform Hopin had product-COVID fit, not product-market fit
“Is Hopin, does Hopin have product market fit or product COVID fit? It clearly had product COVID fit. It was, you know, no one was excited to do events online. They were forced to do events online.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 42:34 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 neutral
Insight
Hulme: Second-time founders strongly prefer passive investors over value-add ones
“First time founders are looking for investors that add a lot of value. Those that are second time around understand it, bias, and skew wildly towards the passive.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 6:14 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Opinion
Hulme: Requiring every VC investment to be a fund-returner is flawed
“I think, ah, a lot of VC strategy is a lagging indicator of what did work in the past, and the test, Or the experiment that worked very well in the past is funds with 25 portfolio companies, power law of returns, and one or two return the whole fund, and then …”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 40:18 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: Being too early in a market equals being wrong
“Being too early is tantamount to being wrong.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 22:14 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Hulme: Priced rounds are declining as founders avoid valuation write-downs
“Oh, I think we're seeing that firstly price rounds are less common because people aren't willing to accept the new and fair valuation. So you get convertible notes.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 7:16 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 positive
Insight
Hulme: Second-time founders handle overfunding better than first-time founders
“Again, one of the reasons second time founders do so well is they would be less affected. No one is unaffected, but they would be less affected.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 11:13 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 bearish
Prediction Held up
Hulme: The tech IPO window will not open anytime soon
“Particularly since kind of the IPO window isn't open anytime soon.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 9:22 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: VC learning depends on deal cadence over time, not cash losses
“The learning cycle is number of deals and time To see how they do. And so for me, it looks more like five deals over five years to figure out, actually, if you're building the muscle and you're learning, then it looks like an absolute quantum of cash.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 23:38 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hulme: Pre-2015 angel investments achieved 4.5x DPI and 24x TVPI
“You could take a batch of my angel investments Pre- twenty-fifteen. And I tracked this roughly 27 portfolio companies, about 4.5 X DPI, about 25 X or 24 X TVPI.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 11:36 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: Great board members act as shock absorbers for founders
“Great board members are like shock absorbers. They kind of reduce the highs and they will cushion the blows and let founders know the negatives aren't as bad.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 30:19 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 neutral
Insight
Hulme: Venture capital is like being a founder on antidepressants
“Venture capital. It's like being a founder on antidepressants. You basically have all of the highs, just not as high. All of the lows, just not as low.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 0:00 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: Aspiring angels should write $5k checks rather than waiting for $200k
“If your job is to learn and to demonstrate you add value, then just write small five K checks. I see so many people that never start angel investing because they think they have to invest 200 K at a time. It's crazy. If you believe you've got to learn, you wan…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 24:21 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Hulme: GV would not invest in OpenAI at a $90B valuation
“I would struggle To make that investment today. No.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 50:12 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: Investors underestimate winners by assuming single S-curve growth trajectories
“We have a sort of bias that whenever we're looking at businesses, we see them on an S curve. It's very difficult to imagine new S curves, but the best businesses will continuously put themselves on new S curves and create new opportunities.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 35:15 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024
Insight
Hulme: Great founders collect data early to preserve option value
“Most of the best founders I've ever worked with have collected data without knowing really what it might be used for, but they've instinctively known there's option value in it.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 36:03 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 positive
Opinion
Hulme: Active founders angel investing personal capital provides high-value empathy
“Yeah, so the former, I think is actually great for the portfolio companies they invest in, because I think they're in our category of smart, smart. Like, they will be specialists at something, and the founder will be able to ask them for advice, and there's no…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 25:47 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 positive
Disclosure
Hulme: GV manages $10B with 10 to 20-year holding periods
“So our approach at GV is primarily be founder first, and we can take a very long time. You know, we have ten billion dollars under management. Alphabet does not put us under time pressure. We're less worried about IRR than we are absolute returns. And so we fo…”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 41:34 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
May 8, 2024 positive
Insight
Hulme: Ex-rocket ship employees make the best startup founders
“I think one of the best groups of founders are those that have come out of the rocket ship companies because actually they kind of instinctively know they need to aim at big opportunities and they know how to run a Fast growth business.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 39:44 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Hulme: Less venture capital will be available in two years
“I actually think there's probably going to be less money in the market for venture in two years than there is today.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 18:57 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Hulme: OpenAI is a consumer company, not a foundation model provider
“So my big one here is that I've changed my mind. I thought OpenAI was a foundation model company. I now think it's a consumer company. So a twelve billion dollar run rate or something.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:11:55 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Tom Hulme: Uranium ETFs will capture upside as nuclear energy expands
“I think the best source of energy going forward is nuclear. Fusion and potentially fission and SMRs are going to be important. I think it's the predictable cleanest energy source we have. I, not betting on one individual company, that's difficult to do. So I t…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:20:46 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 negative
Opinion
Tom Hulme proposes tapering UK R&D tax credits over time
“Maybe we should start to take into account time Like they do in the U S with capital gains tax and start to actually maybe taper off R and D tax credits to avoid what you're describing.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 57:58 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hulme: Most impactful UK tech companies next decade will be AI-native and private
“I think we'll look back and the companies that are most impactful in the decade will have grown in the UK and they won't be names we know today because these companies are growing faster than ever. So they'll be AI native, incredibly fast growing businesses, a…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:25:13 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 positive
Opinion
Hulme: AI drives a stronger power law than past tech cycles
“My belief is that AI is creating a real power law, far more than we've ever seen before.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 19:24 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Tom Hulme: Non-dom investments in GoCardless yielded massive UK tech spinout value
“Like angel investing in GoCardless. If I look at some of the other angel investors in that business, they were non-doms. They were actually Europeans, some Americans. The founders of that business built an important company for London, employing hundreds of pe…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 53:28 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 positive
Opinion
Hulme: Company HQ, employees, and IP create more value than listing location
“Given the choice between Picking where a company's HQ is, or where the bulk of the employees are, or where the IP is generated, or where it's listed, I'm taking the first three. They're way more valuable.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 39:41 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hulme: The idea of a one-person billion-dollar company is a myth
“I think I keep hearing people talking about the first one person billion dollar business is already created. I think that's absolutely ridiculous. On the one hand, companies are growing faster and more efficiently than ever. Like bolt.new, forty million dollar…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:11:12 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 bullish
Opinion
Hulme: OpenAI is a good investment at a $12 billion run rate
“I it doesn't mean I think it's the best gen AI investment, but if I was sitting independently, do I think it's a good investment now when your downside is somewhat protected and they're at a twelve billion dollar run rate? Let's say it's a 20 times forward mul…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:18:40 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 positive
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tom Hulme: Tech spinout cycles are compressing from 5-10 years to 18-24 months
“Businesses are growing faster than they ever had before. So I think those cycles will happen quicker, quicker. Previous, it might be five or 10 years that you start to see the best senior operators come out and build a company. Now it might be 18 months, 24 mo…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 54:09 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Apr 10, 2025 negative
Opinion
Hulme: Ending non-dom status drives top UK angel investors abroad
“If I do say, see the brain drain. I recognize it. And I do see that many of the people I know well that have chosen to leave have left. They were also incredible angel investors. They employed a bunch of people. And so do I think everyone should pay Equal tax.…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 49:08 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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