self-driving cars

12 statements across 11 episodes · 6 bullish · 3 bearish · 11 people on the record · first statement Nov 25, 2015 by Daniel Waterhouse · across every show →

Everything said about self-driving cars, oldest first

Nov 25, 2015 positive
Insight
Waterhouse: Autonomous vehicles require unsupervised learning to handle unexpected scenarios
“Self-driving cars need to have unsupervised learning because there's no way you can tell them every situation they're going to expect.”
Daniel Waterhouse Nov 25, 2015 ▶ 17:37 20 VC 091: Daniel Waterhouse @ Balderton Capital on Investing Styles, Venture Landscapes and The Future of AI
Jun 8, 2016 bullish
Assertion Supported
Hyatt: Rapid computer vision advances are unlocking autonomous tech
“Computer vision has, Made amazing leaps and strides in the last three or four years after being a relatively static field for the previous 20 years, and that is enabling a whole bunch of new categories of technology to exist, baseline of everything from some a…”
Nabeel Hyatt Jun 8, 2016 ▶ 10:14 20VC: Spark's Nabeel Hyatt on Investing in Oculus and Cruise & What It Takes To Invest Ahead Of The Curve
Jul 11, 2016 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wenger predicts only a small number of self-driving car companies will survive
“If you think about self-driving cars, how many self-driving car companies will there ultimately be? It's probably not a large number, and so if you're in the installation phase, you know, you have to get very lucky to pick the winner, and then even within pick…”
Albert Wenger Jul 11, 2016 ▶ 9:08 20VC: USV's Albert Wenger on Automation Replacing Humans, The Universal Basic Income and The Instalment & The Deployment Phase
Oct 26, 2016 bullish
Prediction Partly held up
Wong predicts mass self-driving car proliferation by 2023
“I think seven years. Well, first I like odd numbers. No kidding aside. I think that it is not, it's not a two, three year away problem, but I don't think it's a decade, a long problem, but by mass, I think it could be mass proliferation out of the caveat, like…”
Leon Wong Oct 26, 2016 ▶ 20:10 20VC: Why You Don't Have To Have Operational Experience To Be A Good VC, Why There Is No Optimal Stage To Invest & Why VCs Should Focus on Reputation Ahead of Cash On Cash Returns with Lyon Wong, General Partner @ Spectrum 28
Nov 9, 2016 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Self-driving cars will see major market penetration in 5 to 10 years
“I think in the next five to 10 years, we'll probably see quite a bit more penetration of Self-driving cars, and again, I hope for, since becoming a parent, apparently the whole world revolves around my child, who knew, but I think, I suspect that by the time s…”
Rudina Seseri Nov 9, 2016 ▶ 18:45 20VC: Who Will Own The Data? Is There An Incumbency Advantage in AI? When Will Artificial Super Intelligence Come To The Forefront with Rudina Seseri, Founder and Managing Director @ Glasswing Ventures
Dec 6, 2017 neutral
Insight
Flomenberg: Synthetic data gets self-driving cars 99.9% there but misses edge cases
“In the instance of self-driving cars, It could make a lot of sense, and I think it can get you 99.9% of the way there, but the question is, how fully reflective is the underlying data set of the real world, and in the instance where it's not 100% fully reflect…”
Jake Flomenberg Dec 6, 2017 ▶ 14:36 20VC: The Value Chain of Machine Learning, Is There Really An Incumbency Advantage in ML & Will The Rise In Cyber Remain For the Long Term with Jake Flomenberg, Partner @ Accel
Oct 25, 2019 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Self-Driving Cars Will Not Be Useful or Adopted in Dense Cities
“And I think by the time that these companies figure it out and make it safe and reliable and this and that, that there'll be other options that just work better. For example, electric bikes and scooters are really, really great. Public transit works really wel…”
Steve Huffman Oct 25, 2019 ▶ 25:11 20VC: Reddit CEO Steve Huffman on Scaling Teams; What Works and What Does Not, A CEO's Relationship with Stress and Managing It & How To Structure Internal Decision-Making Effectively
May 29, 2024 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Schroepfer: Self-driving cars will be ubiquitous in 10 to 15 years
“I think self-driving cars went through a huge boom, and then like, now everyone thinks they suck, and like, they kind of miss that they actually work now, and so like, I think in 1015 years, it's going to be like, whoa, you drive your car? That's weird. I thin…”
Mike Schroepfer May 29, 2024 ▶ 1:14:11 Mike Schroepfer: Former Meta CTO on "Why The Best Leaders are Like Music Conductors" | E1158 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Aug 28, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Narayanan: Enterprise AI deployment will be very slow
“It's got, you have to actually deploy AI to be able to get to certain types of learning, and I think that's gonna be very slow, and I think the a good analogy is self-driving cars, of which we had prototypes, you know, two or three decades ago, but for these t…”
Arvind Narayanan Aug 28, 2024 ▶ 11:19 Arvind Narayanan: AI Scaling Myths, The Core Bottlenecks in AI Today & The Future of Models | E1195 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 13, 2024 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2029
Villig: Existing ride-hailing networks are the best go-to-market for autonomous vehicles
“Currently, I think the most contrarian view that I have not seen any investors really buy into so far is that these ride-hailing companies are really gonna be the best way for these self-driving cars to come to market.”
Markus Villig Nov 13, 2024 ▶ 1:20:51 Markus Villig, Founder @Bolt: The Most Insane Story in Startups & The Future of Self-Driving| E1225 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Nov 13, 2024
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Villig: Future mobility disruption will come from new innovations, not incumbents
“Either it's going to be something new like electric scooters, or it's going to be self-driving cars, but I think it's going to be a completely different thing that's going to shake up the market, not the existing company.”
Markus Villig Nov 13, 2024 ▶ 1:26:51 Markus Villig, Founder @Bolt: The Most Insane Story in Startups & The Future of Self-Driving| E1225 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
Dec 18, 2024 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dines: Fully autonomous AI agents will take as long as self-driving cars
“As long as it's gonna take for you know, the nice self-driving cars that we have today to be fully autonomous and to drive, you know, asides with people on the streets and they will just work.”
Daniel Dines Dec 18, 2024 ▶ 18:48 Daniel Dines, UiPath CEO & Founder: Why Agents Do Not Mean RPA is F*** | E1240 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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