The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
The computing infrastructure required for AI inference vastly exceeds training
“It's a lot of computing infrastructure. It's actually much bigger than the infrastructure for learning.”
LLM inference costs dropped 100x in two years, far outpacing Moore's law
“I think the cost of inference for LLM has gone down by a factor of a hundred in two years. I mean, it's just, it's amazing, right? It's way faster than Moore's law.”
DeepMind was founded on the premise that reinforcement learning leads to AGI
“There was a big wave of interest in reinforcement learning about, you know, a dozen years ago, and companies like DeepMind set themselves up with the idea that reinforcement learning was going to be the key element towards building truly intelligent machines.”