The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Zhu: Chinese EVs will remain attractive in the West despite 100% tariffs
“Even if you levy a 100% tariff on new energy vehicles, China's new energy vehicles will still be very attractive in European market or maybe even in the States.”
Ning Zhu Jul 28, 2026 ▶ 20:55 They Called The Trade Wars & China's Housing Crash | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 4 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Supported
Ning Zhu: RMB's Share of Global Settlements Has Barely Grown in a Decade
“I think in terms of the total settlement for the whole world, R&B has not gone up a lot in the past decade or so.”
Ning Zhu Jul 28, 2026 ▶ 36:35 They Called The Trade Wars & China's Housing Crash | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 4 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Supported
Zhu: US dollar took nearly a century to replace pound sterling
“The U S economy surpassed that of UK in around the But then U.S. Dollar did not totally replace starting until like almost a hundred years later. So it's a very long and gradual process and full of changes, apps announced.”
Ning Zhu Jul 28, 2026 ▶ 41:26 They Called The Trade Wars & China's Housing Crash | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 4 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Supported
Ning Zhu: Land Sales Are Biggest Revenue Source for Chinese Local Governments
“Land sales have become the biggest contribution to fiscal revenues to many local governments in China.”
Ning Zhu Jul 28, 2026 ▶ 48:29 They Called The Trade Wars & China's Housing Crash | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 4 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Supported
Ning Zhu: China's GDP growth slowed from over 9% to roughly 5%
“I think for the first 10 years of this century, it was growing over nine percent, and for the past decade or so, it was around seven, and over the past five years, it's more around five.”
Ning Zhu Jul 28, 2026 ▶ 3:32 They Called The Trade Wars & China's Housing Crash | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 4 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Contradicted
Zhu: RMB Devalued 30% Over a Decade Before Rebounding 10–15%
“China started its exchange rate reform about a decade ago, and then RMB went down in devaluation for about a 30%, but it has appreciated 10 to 15% since last summer.”
Ning Zhu Jul 28, 2026 ▶ 16:28 They Called The Trade Wars & China's Housing Crash | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 4 · Nikhil Kamath
Assertion Supported
Ning Zhu: Fed balance sheet expanded from sub-$1T in 2007 to nearly $9T peak
“Because in 2007, if I'm not mistaken, the balance sheet of the Fed is less than one trillion dollar. It was as high as almost nine trillion dollars, and now I think it's falling back to somewhere between six and seven.”
Ning Zhu Jul 28, 2026 ▶ 26:55 They Called The Trade Wars & China's Housing Crash | Nikhil Kamath | WTF is Finance Ep 4 · Nikhil Kamath
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