why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kim: Top mobile shooter games are almost entirely developed in China
“Almost all of the top mobile shooter games are all developed by Chinese companies effectively, right?”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: AI will allow a solo Indian developer to become a billionaire
“I actually think that this is going to be an incredibly rare moment in time and probably, you know, I, and I believe unprecedented, unprecedented in history where you're going to have the opportunity for some kid in India To become like a billionaire as a sing…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kim: Apple's privacy policies are killing ad-driven hyper-casual game monetization
“The summary is you can't do targeting anymore because of Apple's Privacy policies. And so the ability for the hyper-casual games that are largely driven off of the ad-driven model to then make money off of those ads through targeting is going away. And Apple j…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kim: US console and PC game budgets reach $100M to $300M
“In the U.S., budgets are, like, to make a game now is like a 103 hundred million dollars for like a, Or an HD or PC or console game.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kim: Roblox game Adopt Me makes about $70M for its creators
“Like Adopt Me probably makes like seventy million to that team.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kim: Shooters generate the majority of gaming revenue in India
“My only understanding of the Indian market is that it does seem that it's highly skewed to shooters. It does seem like shooters are making the majority of the money in India.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: Unreal Engine Will Likely Become the Dominant Game Engine
“In the long term, if current trends continue, Unreal is likely the engine of choice in the not too distant future.”
Assertion Contradicted
Kim: Fresh IIT grads can earn 50 lakhs in game engineering
“So like, if you go to IIT and you come out, you can make, you know, 40, 50 lakhs.”
Assertion Supported
Kim: Tencent developed Call of Duty Mobile using Activision's IP
“Call of Duty Mobile is actually developed by Tencent, although they're using the IP of Activision, for example, right?”
Assertion Supported
Kim: Lethal Company creator learned skills on Roblox before topping Steam
“There was a creator that learned their skills on Roblox, but then created a mobile, sorry, created a PC game called Lethal Company that became a number one game on Steam.”
Assertion Supported
Kim: Shooters lead in the US while RPGs dominate Japan's market
“Because in America, shooters are number one. Battle Royale is number one in, in, in the States as well. It's not true for Japan. Japan RPGs are number one, for whatever reason.”