why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pei: Voice-Generated AI Apps Will Allow Smaller OSs to Challenge iOS
“In the future, you can just speak what app you want into the phone and that app shows up. So then that gives a smaller company like us the ability to compete with iOS, which has, I don't know, a 1,000,002 million apps already, but we can empower every normal p…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carl Pei: 80% of population will live on government income as AI advances
“I think most people are gonna, I think, 80% of the population will just chill and receive income from the government.
And a small group of people will leverage the new technologies to push society and humanity forward.”
Assertion Supported
Pei: Chinese smartphone screen makers sell at a loss via subsidies
“The smartphone screens from China, those companies are losing money to sell the screens. They have policies that subsidize the creation of that industry.”
Assertion Partly supported
Pei: OnePlus First Year Did $300M Total, Profitable Only Internationally
“After one year, after launching the product at OnePlus, China did one hundred million dollars in revenue. International did two hundred million. China lost money. International made money.”
Assertion Supported
Pei: Apple gets TSMC's latest semiconductor batches before all competitors
“Actually, what we talked about before, they get the TSMC latest. Yeah, they get the first batch before everybody else. They get the latest technology from TSMC for Apple Silicon.”
Assertion Partly supported
Pei: Global smartphone market is 1.2B units annually worth over $300B
“Smartphones globally is about 1.2 billion units every year. In India, it's one 20 to one forty million annually, depending on what number you look at. So if you assume that the ASP is 300 dollars, then 1.2 billion, that's over three hundred billion dollars, ju…”
Assertion Supported
Pei: Apple Makes $100 Annually Per US iPhone User on Non-Hardware Services
“I don't know the number for India, but like in the US, Apple makes a hundred dollars per year on each iPhone user, just on non-hardware stuff.”
Assertion Contradicted
Pei: Chipmakers earn 40-45% gross margins while Foxconn earns roughly 10%
“Nvidia, I don't know, is it or Qualcomm's, 4060, 40, 45%, I think, just declared, yeah. Gross margin. But Foxconn is, I think, 10%.”