The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Bryan Johnson: AG1 costs under $10 to make and pays 20% influencer commissions
“So the cost of their goods to source their actual ingredients is less than 10 dollars, probably seven dollars. They sell it for one time, 99 dollars and subscription for 79. They pay influencers
20% of that. So every time a health influencer plugs AG one, they…”
Polymarket Is Launching a Prediction Market on Bryan Johnson's Nighttime Erections
“So actually next week there's going to be, do you know Polymarket? Yeah. They're launching a market on my nighttime erections.”
Bryan Johnson: AI agents will match top AI researchers by 2027
“By 20, 27, the same time when we think that These AI agents will be as good as our best AI researchers, that there's a billion of us around the world that are practicing, don't die, economically, politically, religiously, morally, socially, ethically, all the …”
Johnson: AI may deliver a century of health progress in 5 years
“And specifically I think that AI may produce in the next five years, you know, decades, if not a century worth of progress.”
Bryan Johnson: Emergent evidence shows psychedelics are alternatives to pharma drugs
“There's a lot of interesting trials for veterans working on PTSD. You know, also psilocybin is very promising. So I'd say, yeah, psychedelics are having a resurgence in the US of interest where they got pretty buried by the government in the seventies, eightie…”
Bryan Johnson: Breathing Mumbai air equals smoking over 10 cigarettes daily
“In this air quality here in Mumbai, it's equal to smoking over 10 cigarettes a day. If you're out in the, every day, like the entire city is smoking, you know, 10 plus cigarettes a day, breathing this air, right?”
Johnson: Sperm Counts, Fertility, Birth Rates, and Sexual Activity Are All Falling
“You have on one side, sperm counts going down, fertility is going down, birth rates going down, sexual activity is going down like all these indicators of like, of humans having sex and You know, like having babies, they're all going down.”
Johnson: High BPA levels correlate with substantially fewer eggs in women
“So a recent study showed that women with high levels of BPA produced substantially fewer eggs and ovulation. That contaminants reduces the body's production of eggs.”
Johnson: Airborne Particulates Lodge in Tissues, Causing Systemic Damage
“These contaminants wreak havoc on the body. It can create neurological dysfunction. It can cause asthma. It can cause lung irritation. It just like its whole body damage. It gets into tissues. It lodges in. It's very hard to remove it. So it's not like somethi…”