why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pei: Voice-Generated AI Apps Will Allow Smaller OSs to Challenge iOS
“In the future, you can just speak what app you want into the phone and that app shows up. So then that gives a smaller company like us the ability to compete with iOS, which has, I don't know, a 1,000,002 million apps already, but we can empower every normal p…”
Disclosure
Kamath: Invested in Nothing expecting an AI company buyout
“Hence actually the nothing bet, because I always thought AI company will come in and buy them out at some point.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Kamath: Nothing's revenue grew from $500M to about $900M
“The sales look great. I think they went from 500 mil last year to about 900 mil this year.”
Disclosure
Pei: Nothing manufactured its first earbuds with a blacklisted Chinese factory
“We went to the worst factory. Like the factory, if they didn't take us on as a client, they would go out of business immediately. In China, because they were on the blacklist of a lot of other people for quality issues.”
Insight
Pei: Hardware founders should work for an existing company first
“Like instead of starting your own company, work for somebody else. If there's so many mistakes you can make in our industry. If I didn't do it like once before, the chances of failure would have been way higher.”
Insight
Pei: Smartphone Startups Only Need a Niche Fanbase Given Market Size
“We don't have to have everybody love us. It's okay if 90% of people don't care about us or hate us, as long as we get a niche group of consumers who really love us. That works in our industry because it's so big. Maybe it doesn't work for smaller categories.”
Insight
Pei: Design Differentiation Is Much Faster for Hardware Startups Than Tech
“So for us, we chose to differentiate through design because it was the fastest way to differentiate. If we picked, you know, technology, it would take years to play out. A lot of investment, a lot of years.”
Disclosure
Pei: Factories refused to build smartphones for Nothing when it launched
“And when we started this new company, nothing, we wanted to make phones. Nobody wanted to make phones for us.”
Disclosure
Pei: US tariffs on China hit Nothing's earbud business by 20%
“So now the most direct way is Trump had new tariffs for manufacturing from China. So we manufacture the earbuds in China. And that's like a 20% hit on our import business plans for the US market.”