The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Mayya: AI will eventually bypass human cognitive defense filters
“And I feel like chat GPT will eventually get good enough. And we're still in GPT-IV, right? I'm sure there are many along the way. It'll get good enough to, Push through your brain's system, right?”
Varun Mayya May 14, 2023 ▶ 43:17 Ep #4 | WTF is ChatGPT: Heaven or Hell? | w/ Nikhil, Varun Mayya, Tanmay, Umang & Aprameya · Nikhil Kamath
Disclosure
Altman: GPT-5 will integrate all reasoning models into a single interface
“It's an integrated model, so you don't have to, like, pick in our model switcher and know if you should use GPT-IV or O-III or O-IV or any of the complicated things. It's just one thing that, that works”
Sam Altman Aug 14, 2025 ▶ 1:53 Sam Altman x Nikhil Kamath: How to Win When AI Changes Everything | People by WTF | Episode 13 · Nikhil Kamath
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