The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Insight

Marks: Forcing AI to generate non-consensus ideas usually leads to errors

“If you believe that consensus is as close to right as most people can get, then if you tell Claude, I only want non-consensus thinking, then it has a high probability of being wrong.”

Howard Marks May 4, 2026 ▶ 1:31:51 Howard Marks: AI, Debt vs Equity & The Next 40 Years Of Investing | Nikhil Kamath | People by WTF · Nikhil Kamath

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The Ledger

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