why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Kamath: AI founders must use open source to avoid platform lock-in
“If these large model companies are going to cannibalize the end product, if you build on top of them, I think for a young entrepreneur, it's important not to be short-sighted and kind of like diversify and hedge what they build on top of not, it's not a, it's …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bonatsos: The iPhone won't exist in its current form for future teens
“By the time my kid is going to be a teenager, the iPhone won't really exist in its current shape and form.”
Opinion
Pei: Steve Jobs' Apple inspired tech careers better than Tim Cook's
“Tim Cook has done a great job on the share shareholder value creation side, but when it just comes to inspiring a young guy or a young person to take a career in tech, I think the old Apple was Way better at that.”
Opinion
Gates: Steve Jobs succeeded at Apple because he was great at picking engineers
“He was not an engineer and I'm not a design person.
I wish I was a design person, and I don't know if he wished he was an engineer.
He was good at picking engineers, and so Apple you know, really distinguished itself, but it wasn't an act.
he was a natural.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Nithin Kamath: Apple and Samsung will be top health data owners
“The thing, I think the biggest owners of data, health data will be Apple and Samsung because of watch.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kim: Apple's privacy policies are killing ad-driven hyper-casual game monetization
“The summary is you can't do targeting anymore because of Apple's Privacy policies. And so the ability for the hyper-casual games that are largely driven off of the ad-driven model to then make money off of those ads through targeting is going away. And Apple j…”
Opinion
Tanmay Bhat: Meta must master hardware via Oculus to secure next 25 years
“Apple's biggest advantage is they have a hardware device. Zuck just needs to make, if he has to ensure the next 20, 20, 20, 25 years, he needs to get hardware right and his big bet is Oculus or the metaverse, which is it's going to be a thing where we all sit …”
Assertion Supported
Pei: Apple gets TSMC's latest semiconductor batches before all competitors
“Actually, what we talked about before, they get the TSMC latest. Yeah, they get the first batch before everybody else. They get the latest technology from TSMC for Apple Silicon.”
Assertion Supported
Gates: Microsoft lost the mobile OS race and Android won non-Apple phones
“We competed with Google over the mobile phone operating system, and we fell behind, and, you know, today, nobody remembers there was a Windows Mobile thing. It's just Android. For non-Apple phones, it's basically all Android.”
Assertion Supported
Pei: Apple Makes $100 Annually Per US iPhone User on Non-Hardware Services
“I don't know the number for India, but like in the US, Apple makes a hundred dollars per year on each iPhone user, just on non-hardware stuff.”