The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Gurman: Apple to release Gemini-powered Siri revamp in spring 2026
“The big AI thing for Apple is the revamped Siri coming out in the spring. They're using a Google Gemini model to power it, which I think is going to make it pretty top tier.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 14:38 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Prediction Partly held up
Iovine: Artists whose work influences AI music generation will get paid
“They didn't get paid. But now if you're influenced by the Beatles and Dr. Dre, they will get paid.”
Jimmy Iovine Sep 2, 2026 ▶ 29:31 Jimmy Iovine on AI: “The Great Artists Will Show the World How to Use It”
Prediction Partly held up
Gurman: Google to launch smart glasses with Samsung and Warby Parker
“What you're going to see is Google come into this space, too. They're going to launch, you know, their smart glasses with Samsung in a few months, their glasses with Warby Parker and a few other glasses brands in a few months, and there's going to be a lot of …”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 30:56 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Prediction Partly held up
Foody: AI agents will reliably handle flight booking and mundane tasks in 2025
“And so I think as that starts to happen, I would really expect that this year you're able to use operator or whatever the equivalent agent is to start booking flights and doing a lot of these more mundane tasks.”
Brendan Foody Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 10:25 Brendan Foody on using AI to predict job performance and scaling from $1M to $100M in 11 months
Prediction Partly held up
Trevor Milton Will Attempt to Build Another Company After Prison Release
“Trevor's gonna try and come out of the clink hit the ground running, build a new company.”
Austin Petersmith Feb 24, 2025 ▶ 18:38 Could NIKOLA Make a Comeback?
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