The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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why aren't all 1,828 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Partly supported
Torre: Kawhi Leonard was contracted for $48M from Aspiration to do nothing
“And what they say and what they provide in the tonnage of all the reporting I did for months, seven months before we came out with part one of the series one year ago today, was documentation that attested to the fact that Kawhi Leonard was paid According to t…”
Pablo Torre Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 4:19 Pablo Torre Explains the Steve Ballmer & Kawhi Leonard Scandal
Assertion Supported
Torre: Steve Ballmer used four companies to funnel money to Kawhi Leonard
“And I say that because, according to the NBA's investigation and my own, this was not merely a scheme that he ran to funnel money with one company aspiration. He did it with four. He did it with the scoreboard manufacturer, multi-million dollar deal for Kawhi …”
Pablo Torre Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 7:23 Pablo Torre Explains the Steve Ballmer & Kawhi Leonard Scandal
Assertion Supported
Torre: Ballmer Created Fake Consulting Agreements to Pay Kawhi Leonard
“What they really did was they created fake jobs for Kawhi Leonard and fake consulting agreements, consulting fees for the companies.”
Pablo Torre Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 10:42 Pablo Torre Explains the Steve Ballmer & Kawhi Leonard Scandal
Assertion Supported
DiRico: Rainmaker and cloud seeding had no connection to Texas floods
“Rainmaker and cloud seeding had nothing to do with the flooding that unfolded”
Augustus Doricko Jul 8, 2025 ▶ 4:01 RAINMAKER CEO Speaks Out on Texas Flood Controversy
Assertion Partly supported
Crivello: Meta AI VP and Researchers Resigned Over Unethical Practices
“The VP of AI research at Meta resigned and so have a couple members of the core research team seemingly in protest for what they deemed to be unethical practices.”
Flo Crivello Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 12:56 What AI and LEGO Have in Common | Flo Crivello on TBPN April 7th
Assertion Contradicted
Asparouhov: Biden Admin Rejected Early SpaceX Return Due to Musk's Politics
“What's incredibly clear is SpaceX offered to bring the astronauts back sooner And because it was in the middle of the election cycle, and because Musk was campaigning for Trump, the Biden administration turned down that offer.”
Delian Asparouhov Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 3:47 Delian Asparouhov on Stranded Astronauts, NASA in Crisis, and Corporate Espionage.
Assertion Supported
Brockman: OpenAI Model Solved Navier-Stokes Millennium Problem by Finding Singularity
“Today we announced that our model had solved the Navier-Stokes problem that we found a counter-example or a sort of proof that you can actually that these theoretical equations do have a singularity or kind of breakdown under Certain circumstances.”
Greg Brockman Sep 8, 2026 ▶ 0:31 Greg Brockman on Astra and the Future of OpenAI
Assertion Partly supported
Torre: Steve Ballmer threatened NBA Commissioner Adam Silver with litigation by name
“He has now threatened personally with litigation Adam Silver by name in a letter through his lawyers.”
Pablo Torre Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 16:00 Pablo Torre Explains the Steve Ballmer & Kawhi Leonard Scandal
Assertion Supported
Lutnick: US government will acquire a 9.9% equity stake in Intel
“And at three o'clock, we're going to sign the document together in the Oval Office, where the United States of America will own 9.9% of the great American technology company Intel.”
Howard Lutnick Aug 30, 2025 ▶ 3:09 Weekly Recap: Taylor Swift Gets Engaged, SpaceX Launches Falcon 9, Dr. Drew
Assertion Contradicted
Maguire: Harvard introduced remedial math because admissions standards dropped
“Harvard last year implemented their first ever remedial math because there are people coming in that don't know algebra because they dropped the admission standards.”
Shaun Maguire Mar 24, 2025 ▶ 10:29 Shaun Maguire breaks down Wiz investment, building great teams, and the Everything App.
Assertion Partly supported
Torre: NBA Hit Steve Ballmer With Largest Owner Sanction in American Sports History
“This was the biggest punishment for an owner in the history of, I think, American professional sports, and the NBA took five first-round picks, which is the most you could imagine. They took thirty million dollars, which is a rounding error, of course, for Bal…”
Pablo Torre Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 12:08 Pablo Torre Explains the Steve Ballmer & Kawhi Leonard Scandal
Assertion Supported
OpenAI Agents Built Internal Message Board to Escape Sandbox
“OpenAI member of technical staff, Michael Dalton, revealed That its autonomous agents created a message board with each other to help break out of a sandbox environment to get access to the internet.”
John Coogan Aug 6, 2026 ▶ 3:02 More Details on OpenAI-Hugging Face, SpaceX SPV Investors Get Rugged, Demis and DeepMind | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Yacht broker sues Revolut CEO Nik Storonsky over $20 million commission
“Cecil Wright and Partners, a luxury yacht broker filed the legal action in London's High Court over Stronsky's acquisition of Nixie, a 335 foot vessel with four terraces. The broker alleged in a court filing that it was negotiating the purchase for Stronsky wh…”
John Coogan Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 20:41 Demis Is Out as DeepMind CEO, Revolut Founder Yacht Drama, AI’s Great Reverse Bank Run | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Citadel agreed to buy Situational Awareness's public stock portfolio
“Prime brokers reportedly rushed to raise cash to meet margin requirements while Ken Griffin's Citadel, my former employer reached a deal to purchase the funds publicly traded assets.”
John Coogan Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 0:21 The Collapse of Situational Awareness, Ferrari Luce Stays on Track for 2026 | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Jane Street, Millennium, Citadel bid on Aschenbrenner's liquidated fund assets
“Interestingly, we heard that three firms were bidding on the assets. So Jane Street, Millennium and Citadel were sort of brought in in a closed Close circle sort of late Friday to bid on the remains of the firm.”
Martin Shkreli Jul 30, 2026 ▶ 3:33 Martin Shkreli Breaks Down the Collapse of Situational Awareness
Assertion Supported
Escaped OpenAI model hacked Hugging Face seeking benchmark test answers
“So the models found a zero day vulnerability, gained internet access and broke into hugging face because the model believed It hosted answers to the test.”
Jordi Hays Jul 23, 2026 ▶ 2:40 AI Agents Hack Hugging Face, White House Promotes Science’s Golden Age | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Bloomberg: Phia extension injected affiliate codes during checkout without user interaction
“Bloomberg tested the FIA mobile browser extension across more than 50 websites and found that during the checkout process, FIA opened a background tab without user interaction and injected its own referral code that overrode legitimate referrals from other pub…”
John Coogan Jul 11, 2026 ▶ 25:34 GPT-5.6 Reactions, Phoebe Gates’ Phia Drama, Hollywood Chases Internet Horror | Diet TBPN
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Alibaba has repeatedly distilled Anthropic's Claude model
“Anthropix's Alibaba has distilled, clawed many, many times, and I saw a chart of the amount of tokens that are getting resold.”
John Coogan Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 22:24 Shifts In The Creator Economy, Kylie Jenner x Meta, GPT 5.6 Limited Release | Diet TBPN
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: OpenAI bought 40% of global raw DRAM wafer output
“Also, apparently, OpenAI made deals to purchase 40% of the global raw undiced DRAM wafer output until 2029.”
John Coogan Jun 27, 2026 ▶ 29:49 Shifts In The Creator Economy, Kylie Jenner x Meta, GPT 5.6 Limited Release | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Shotwell: SpaceX and xAI merger owns Earth's largest gigawatt-class compute cluster
“With the merger, the acquisition of XAI, we now, as a group, own the largest coherent gigawatt class compute on the planet, which will help us truth seek and understand the universe.”
Gwynne Shotwell Jun 13, 2026 ▶ 8:54 🚀 SpaceX IPO Liftoff | Diet TBPN
Assertion Contradicted
Prince: A Golf Course Uses More Water Than All US Data Centers
“A golf course uses more water than probably all the data centers in the United States over, over the course of a year.”
Matthew Prince Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 17:39 Cloudflare CEO Predicts AI Agents Will Outnumber Humans 1,000-to-1
Assertion Supported
Prince: Spanish and Italian Soccer Leagues Sued Cloudflare Rather Than Partnering
“La Liga in, in in, in Spain and the league in Italy have decided that instead of partnering with us to take this down, they would sue us instead.”
Matthew Prince Jun 10, 2026 ▶ 20:55 Cloudflare CEO Predicts AI Agents Will Outnumber Humans 1,000-to-1
Assertion Supported
Cohen: eBay's $5.5B opex and 11,500 headcount make no sense
“They're spending five and a half billion dollars on operating expenses on eleven billion dollar business that Has no inventory in its asset lights. So, it just, there's 11 and a half thousand employees, and it doesn't make sense.”
Ryan Cohen May 5, 2026 ▶ 7:45 FULL INTERVIEW: GameStop’s Ryan Cohen on Why He’s Buying eBay
Assertion Supported
Ryan Cohen: GameStop Has $20B Bank Letter and $9B Cash for Bid
“We have the cash accounted for today in terms of, ah, a highly confident letter from our bank for the twenty billion, plus we've got nine billion of cash, so.”
Ryan Cohen May 5, 2026 ▶ 16:24 FULL INTERVIEW: GameStop’s Ryan Cohen on Why He’s Buying eBay
Assertion Supported
China blocks Meta's $2 billion acquisition of AI platform Manus
“China has blocked Meta's two billion dollar acquisition of artificial intelligence platform Manus after regulators reviewed whether the deal violated Beijing's investment rules.”
Jordi Hays Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 1:26 China Blocks Meta’s $2B Manus Deal, Meta Bets on Space-Based Solar | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: MedV runs 800 fake doctor Facebook accounts to sell GLP-1s
“They are apparently running 800 fake doctor accounts on Facebook to sell compounded GLP ones. Shiel Monat verified that the accounts are not actually doctors.”
John Coogan Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 10:51 The Truth Behind the “Solo Founder Billion Dollar Company”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI acquires tech talk show TBPN
“OpenAI acquires TBPN, accelerating the global conversation about AI.”
John Coogan Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 0:07 Open AI Acquires TBPN, Artemis II, The AI-Built $1.8B Company | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI offers PE firms a 17.5% minimum return
“OpenAI is offering private equity firms a guaranteed minimum return of 17.5%, as well as early access to models not yet in public release.”
John Coogan Mar 23, 2026 ▶ 19:33 SpaceX’s Lunar Mass Driver, OpenAI Hires Meta’s Top Ad Exec, Zuck Builds CEO Agent | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: Anthropic Officially Designated as a Federal Supply Chain Risk
“This also coincided with Anthropic, I guess, officially being designated as a supply chain risk”
Jordi Hays Mar 6, 2026 ▶ 25:52 Daniel Gross’ AGI predictions, SpaceX IPO news, Trump takes control of US chip exports | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Block reduces its workforce by 40 percent, cutting 4,000 employees
“Square is cutting from 10,000 to 6000 employees, a 40% reduction.”
Jordi Hays Feb 27, 2026 ▶ 22:44 Nvidia Earnings, Paramount Emerges Victorious, Block Layoffs | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Trump Requires Tech Giants to Build Power Plants for AI Data Centers
“Tonight I'm pleased to announce that I have negotiated the new rate payer protection pledge. You know what that is? We're telling the major tech companies that they have the obligation to provide for their own power needs. They can build their own power plants…”
Donald Trump Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 11:01 Big Tech to Pay for Power, Anthropic Abandons Safety, the Adoption Paradox | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: Anthropic Battles Pentagon Over Surveillance and Lethal AI Uses
“It's also locked in a battle with the Defense Department over how its clawed suite are used after it told the Pentagon it couldn't be used for domestic surveillance or autonomous lethal activities.”
Jordi Hays Feb 26, 2026 ▶ 21:23 Big Tech to Pay for Power, Anthropic Abandons Safety, the Adoption Paradox | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: Terraform Administrator Accuses Jane Street of Insider Trading
“The court-appointed administrator of Do Kwan's Terraform Labs alleged that Jane Street used non-public information about Terraform insiders to trade the play-by-play.”
Jordi Hays Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 17:03 Kim K's New Energy Drink, Citrini Discourse Rages On, the $100B Meta-AMD Deal | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Bishop: Corrupt PLA officer promotions functioned like angel investments for future revenue
“It's kind of like an angel investment, at least in some cases where actually people would collectively buy a stake in a rising officer because I'm not joking. Right. Literally.”
Bill Bishop Feb 10, 2026 ▶ 11:28 FULL INTERVIEW: Bill Bishop Thinks China’s Military is Still Deeply Corrupt
Assertion Contradicted
Coogan: 17% of Tracked Tech Figures Appeared in Epstein Emails
“Big tech alerts that around 17% of the people that we track with this account are on the Epstein emails.”
John Coogan Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 18:17 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: Jeffrey Epstein Invested in Coinbase at a $400M Valuation
“Looking back and seeing, seeing even, even after the original conviction, how many companies he was able to get in, he got into Coinbase at 400.”
Jordi Hays Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 19:42 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX confirms plans to merge with xAI before IPO
“SpaceX confirms plans to merge with XAI before the IPO. Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with XAI.”
John Coogan Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 28:25 Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Hays: SpaceX and xAI in merger talks ahead of planned IPO
“So, they're in discussions ahead of a blockbuster IPO planned for later this year. The combination would bring Musk's rockets, Starlink satellites, and X social media platform, and the Grok AI chatbot under one roof.”
Jordi Hays Jan 30, 2026 ▶ 21:11 Big Tech Earnings, Elon’s SpaceX–xAI Merge, Genie 3 | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Thinking Machines terminates CTO Barrett Zoff due to alleged unethical conduct
“Breaking Thinking Machines has terminated its CTO, Barrett Zoff, due to unethical conduct.”
Tyler Denk Jan 16, 2026 ▶ 8:48 Big Tech turns to mining, Thinking Machines loses top executives, NYC Sauna Wars heat up | Diet TBPN
Assertion Supported
Musk says xAI will exceed all combined AI compute in five years
“Elon Musk says that XAI will have more AI compute than everyone else combined in less than five years.”
John Coogan Jan 8, 2026 ▶ 6:21 xAI Raises $20B, Anthropic’s $350B Valuation, OpenAI Launches ChatGPT Health | Diet TBPN
Prediction Partly held up
Gurman: Apple to release Gemini-powered Siri revamp in spring 2026
“The big AI thing for Apple is the revamped Siri coming out in the spring. They're using a Google Gemini model to power it, which I think is going to make it pretty top tier.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 14:38 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Assertion Supported
Microsoft's $22B Army augmented reality contract vehicle has moved to Anduril
“Who would have bet that eight years later, that Microsoft contract, that twenty-two billion dollar contract vehicle for the architecture of the Army's AR future would move over to Anduril, that we would be launching something like Eagle Eye”
Palmer Luckey Oct 21, 2025 ▶ 45:59 Palmer Luckey Live on TBPN
Assertion Contradicted
Salesforce Research invented AI prompt engineering, claims Marc Benioff
“We invented prompt engineering, the first prompt right here at Salesforce Research, commercialized by others, of course.”
Marc Benioff Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 6:45 Marc Benioff on AI Agents' Biggest Problem
Assertion Contradicted
Benioff claims Salesforce sold cybersecurity company Wiz to Google
“You know, we just sold a company to Google, which is Wiz, the security company.”
Marc Benioff Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 11:47 Marc Benioff on AI Agents' Biggest Problem
Assertion Contradicted
Dr. Drew: Microdosing and ayahuasca categorically cause severe psychiatric problems
“The AI world is populated by people that microdose on acid and do ayahuasca, which I tell you, it categorically causes severe psychiatric problems. I've seen it my entire career.”
Dr. Drew Pinsky Aug 30, 2025 ▶ 1:23:30 Weekly Recap: Taylor Swift Gets Engaged, SpaceX Launches Falcon 9, Dr. Drew
Assertion Supported
Coogan: METR Study Found AI Coding Tools Made Developers 19% Slower
“The meter team did these evaluations where they ran a randomized control trial to see how much AI coding tools speed up open source developers, and what they found was that developers said that they expected products like cursor and windsurf to improve them by…”
John Coogan Jul 19, 2025 ▶ 40:30 Weekly Recap: CEO Affair at Coldplay Concert, Elon Musk's AI Girlfriend, Cognition Acquires Windsurf
Assertion Contradicted
DiRico: Rainmaker suspended Texas cloud seeding over two days before floods
“It was over two days prior that Rainmaker had suspended all of its cloud seeding operations in Texas, because one, our forecasters and our meteorologists saw that there was going to be this severe weather event, and we needn't operate to produce more water whe…”
Augustus Doricko Jul 8, 2025 ▶ 6:25 RAINMAKER CEO Speaks Out on Texas Flood Controversy
Assertion Supported
Huberman: Hair loss drugs finasteride and dutasteride can cause permanent sexual dysfunction
“There's this whole thing about people taking finasteride and dutasteride men to keep their hair and getting permanent sexual dysfunction, right? Permanent sexual dysfunction. Some of them killing themselves as a consequence of this.”
Andrew Huberman Jun 26, 2025 ▶ 19:46 Andrew Huberman on the Uncertain Future of Science
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