The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 162 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Asparouhov: Biden Admin Rejected Early SpaceX Return Due to Musk's Politics
“What's incredibly clear is SpaceX offered to bring the astronauts back sooner And because it was in the middle of the election cycle, and because Musk was campaigning for Trump, the Biden administration turned down that offer.”
Maguire: Harvard introduced remedial math because admissions standards dropped
“Harvard last year implemented their first ever remedial math because there are people coming in that don't know algebra because they dropped the admission standards.”
Prince: A Golf Course Uses More Water Than All US Data Centers
“A golf course uses more water than probably all the data centers in the United States over, over the course of a year.”
Coogan: 17% of Tracked Tech Figures Appeared in Epstein Emails
“Big tech alerts that around 17% of the people that we track with this account are on the Epstein emails.”
Salesforce Research invented AI prompt engineering, claims Marc Benioff
“We invented prompt engineering, the first prompt right here at Salesforce Research, commercialized by others, of course.”
Benioff claims Salesforce sold cybersecurity company Wiz to Google
“You know, we just sold a company to Google, which is Wiz, the security company.”
Dr. Drew: Microdosing and ayahuasca categorically cause severe psychiatric problems
“The AI world is populated by people that microdose on acid and do ayahuasca, which I tell you, it categorically causes severe psychiatric problems. I've seen it my entire career.”
DiRico: Rainmaker suspended Texas cloud seeding over two days before floods
“It was over two days prior that Rainmaker had suspended all of its cloud seeding operations in Texas, because one, our forecasters and our meteorologists saw that there was going to be this severe weather event, and we needn't operate to produce more water whe…”
Asparouhov: Nvidia exported $20B in chips to Singapore resold to China
“The, you know, articles that came out yesterday talking about you know, NVIDIA basically getting, you know, sort of slapped on the wrist because they were like, we're exporting. I forget what the number was, but like, twenty billion dollars per year of chips t…”
Power: The US no longer manufactures CNC machines domestically
“And we no longer make CNC machines in the US.”
Wilmore and Williams Confirmed They Were Denied Earlier ISS Return
“Butch and Sunni, like, basically confirmed these facts. Like, they basically made it clear, hey, we could have been brought back earlier, and we were, like, denied the opportunity to be brought back earlier.”
Jordy Hays: Mayor Bass Stayed in Ghana After Wildfire Briefing
“She was briefed on the fires on Monday, decided to stay in Ghana. ... She was fully briefed.”
Coogan: Developers cannot train AI models on AMD due to software bugs
“Like you literally cannot train a model on their chips because it's so buggy and their software is so bad.”
China adds one gigawatt of nuclear capacity every two weeks, Coogan says.
“Countries like China are bringing online one gigawatt of nuclear capacity every other week, which is insane.”
Huang: China produces at least 60% of mainstream chips
“They manufacture 60% of the world's mainstream chips, maybe more.”
Coogan: No frontier model has been trained on older than 5nm hardware
“No frontier model to date has been trained on hardware older than five nanometer.”
Thornton: US lost 30 MQ drones in CENTCOM's Operation Rough Rider
“The U.S. Conducted an operation last year called Rough Rider and CENTCOM, and it, We lost something crazy, like, 30 MQs, like, 30 Preds and Reapers and that was not against as nearly as sophisticated of an adversary”
Thornton: China produces cruise missiles orders of magnitude faster than US
“Regardless, you're talking about orders of magnitude more production than the U.S. Has right now, which is, serves as a wake-up call.”
Hays: Founders Fund's SpaceX stake will reach around $150B
“Again, it's still, like, gonna be a hundred and fifty-ish billion dollar position.”
Dixon: JPMorgan Chase Has 1,500 Employees Working on Blockchain Projects
“Chase, I think Jamie, Jamie Dimon talks trash, but I believe they have 1500 people on blockchain projects.”
Dr. Drew: Silicon Valley microdosing categorically causes severe psychiatric problems
“The, that AI world is populated by people that microdose on acid and do ayahuasca, which I tell you it categorically causes severe psychiatric problems. I've seen it my entire career.”
Partovi: Kalshi is the largest legal sports betting market in the US
“And now they're now the largest sports within two months or three months of launch. They're the single largest sports betting market in the United States, all legally.”
Mehr: Golden Dome will be 7% of DoD budget in 2-3 years
“What I've heard last is it's going to be seven percent of the DoD budget in the next two, three years, right? Once it becomes programmatic.”
Freeform built the world's fastest and highest-volume metal 3D printer
“We've built the fastest, highest volume metal printing platform on the planet.”
Means: Tobacco giants controlled 50% of US food supply in early 1990s
“50% of the US food supply was controlled by Philip Morris and RJ Reynolds in the early 19 nineties.”
Means: Pharma makes up over 50% of news channel advertising
“The pharma industry particularly, Is the lifeblood of news and advertising over 50% for most news channels.”
Means: 35% of American teens take chronic disease medications
“35% of teens are on some kind of chronic disease drug.”
Hammond: Commerce Department is delaying Nvidia H20 export controls over tariffs
“The commerce department has, you know, Howard Lutnick has said that he's going to export control the age 20, but they're so distracted by tariffs. They haven't prioritized it. And the time is kind of running out.”
Love: 1 to 3 defense startups will win $100M+ contracts this year
“I just think there's so much in your money up for grabs that I think by the end of the year, and hold me to this you're gonna see one, two, three companies that will get, I mean, high hundreds of millions of dollars of in-year revenue grabbed for real producti…”
Mares: Average American food is 40% to 70% less nutrient dense than 50 years ago
“Like, you know, the average American's food is something like between 40 and 70% less nutrient dense than it was even just 50 years ago.”
Hays: Next trillion-dollar consumer company will be in healthcare
“You can make an argument that generally the next, that the next trillion dollar consumer company will be in healthcare.”
Hays: Karen Bass Was an Active Communist Working With Cuba in the 1970s
“Karen Bass was the target. It turns out her political career, well, I guess this was just the beginning of her political career. She was a very active communist working directly with the Cuban government in the seventies.”
Hays: Tesla vehicles emit high EMF levels, especially in the backseat
“Tesla's just emit like a ridiculous amount of EMF which is, you know, sort of low level radiation. A lot of people say that it doesn't Have any negative effects. But there's quite a lot of evidence that it might. And you can actually go on YouTube and just sea…”
Hays: The average crypto fund has outperformed top 20% VC funds
“Historically, The average crypto fund has outperformed the average venture fund, or basically, no, the average crypto fund has outperformed, like, the top 20% venture fund.”
Coogan: Axios reported AWS spent around $500M on AI in one month
“And then AWS was also reported and Axios is having spent something like half a billion dollars in a single month.”
Carter: OpenAI IP Access Now Requires Expert Review, Not Just Profit
“Sam Carter says the reported one billion of profit is no longer the sole trigger for confidential IP research access. It reportedly includes an independent expert review.”
Hays: Tobi Lütke Called Canadian Nationalized AI Proposal 'Deranged Drivel'
“It's interesting, a Canadian publication, The Globe and Mail, came out yesterday and says, Canada needs nationalized public AI, and Toby, the greatest Canadian entrepreneur in history, says, deranged drivel, in response.”
Data centers consume well under one percent of US electricity
“As big of a story data centers are, they're still consuming well under one percent of U.S. Electricity”
Huberman: BPC-157 is very hard to test for in doping control
“You're going to see peptides like BPC one, five, seven, I believe is banned. But that's a naturally occurring gut peptide. Very hard to test for because you have tons of it circulating and the synthetic versions may or may not differ from that version as much …”
Nadella: Microsoft Committed $13.5B to OpenAI Before ChatGPT Became a Hit
“I mean, if you look back, you asked how we put the billion, and the reality is we put the ten billion. Or the 13 and a half was fully committed before it became a thing, right? And remember that was all done before ChatGPT became a thing.”
Coogan: SemiAnalysis clocks ChatGPT at 71% of AI query share
“So semi-analysis, clocks, chat GPTs, share of queries, it's 71%. Meta is in second at 12%, and that's with billions of users on meta products, and so OpenAI is certainly running away with consumer.”
DiRico: China increased annual weather modification budget to $1.4B in 2025
“China recently, I think on the last time I was on TBPN, I talked about how they had a three hundred million dollar annual budget for their weather modification program. That as of 20, 25 has been up to 1.4 billion dollars.”
DiRico: China increased weather modification budget to $1.4B in 2025
“China recently, I think on the last time I was on TVP and I talked about how they had a three hundred million dollar annual budget for their weather modification program, that as of 2025 has been up to 1.4 billion dollars.”
Apple transcription does not use modern transformer architecture
“And it's clearly not the modern transformer based architecture.”