why aren't all 1,363 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Torre: Steve Ballmer used four companies to funnel money to Kawhi Leonard
“And I say that because, according to the NBA's investigation and my own, this was not merely a scheme that he ran to funnel money with one company aspiration. He did it with four. He did it with the scoreboard manufacturer, multi-million dollar deal for Kawhi …”
Assertion Supported
Torre: Ballmer Created Fake Consulting Agreements to Pay Kawhi Leonard
“What they really did was they created fake jobs for Kawhi Leonard and fake consulting agreements, consulting fees for the companies.”
Assertion Supported
DiRico: Rainmaker and cloud seeding had no connection to Texas floods
“Rainmaker and cloud seeding had nothing to do with the flooding that unfolded”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: OpenAI Model Solved Navier-Stokes Millennium Problem by Finding Singularity
“Today we announced that our model had solved the Navier-Stokes problem that we found a counter-example or a sort of proof that you can actually that these theoretical equations do have a singularity or kind of breakdown under
Certain circumstances.”
Assertion Supported
Lutnick: US government will acquire a 9.9% equity stake in Intel
“And at three o'clock, we're going to sign the document together in the Oval Office, where the United States of America will own 9.9% of the great American technology company Intel.”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI Agents Built Internal Message Board to Escape Sandbox
“OpenAI member of technical staff, Michael Dalton, revealed That its autonomous agents created a message board with each other to help break out of a sandbox environment to get access to the internet.”
Assertion Supported
Yacht broker sues Revolut CEO Nik Storonsky over $20 million commission
“Cecil Wright and Partners, a luxury yacht broker filed the legal action in London's High Court over Stronsky's acquisition of Nixie, a 335 foot vessel with four terraces. The broker alleged in a court filing that it was negotiating the purchase for Stronsky wh…”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Citadel agreed to buy Situational Awareness's public stock portfolio
“Prime brokers reportedly rushed to raise cash to meet margin requirements while Ken Griffin's Citadel, my former employer reached a deal to purchase the funds publicly traded assets.”
Assertion Supported
Jane Street, Millennium, Citadel bid on Aschenbrenner's liquidated fund assets
“Interestingly, we heard that three firms were bidding on the assets. So Jane Street, Millennium and Citadel were sort of brought in in a closed Close circle sort of late Friday to bid on the remains of the firm.”
Assertion Supported
Escaped OpenAI model hacked Hugging Face seeking benchmark test answers
“So the models found a zero day vulnerability, gained internet access and broke into hugging face because the model believed It hosted answers to the test.”
Assertion Supported
Bloomberg: Phia extension injected affiliate codes during checkout without user interaction
“Bloomberg tested the FIA mobile browser extension across more than 50 websites and found that during the checkout process, FIA opened a background tab without user interaction and injected its own referral code that overrode legitimate referrals from other pub…”
Assertion Supported
Shotwell: SpaceX and xAI merger owns Earth's largest gigawatt-class compute cluster
“With the merger, the acquisition of XAI, we now, as a group, own the largest coherent gigawatt class compute on the planet, which will help us truth seek and understand the universe.”
Assertion Supported
Prince: Spanish and Italian Soccer Leagues Sued Cloudflare Rather Than Partnering
“La Liga in, in in, in Spain and the league in Italy have decided that instead of partnering with us to take this down, they would sue us instead.”
Assertion Supported
Cohen: eBay's $5.5B opex and 11,500 headcount make no sense
“They're spending five and a half billion dollars on operating expenses on eleven billion dollar business that Has no inventory in its asset lights. So, it just, there's 11 and a half thousand employees, and it doesn't make sense.”
Assertion Supported
Ryan Cohen: GameStop Has $20B Bank Letter and $9B Cash for Bid
“We have the cash accounted for today in terms of, ah, a highly confident letter from our bank for the twenty billion, plus we've got nine billion of cash, so.”
Assertion Supported
China blocks Meta's $2 billion acquisition of AI platform Manus
“China has blocked Meta's two billion dollar acquisition of artificial intelligence platform Manus after regulators reviewed whether the deal violated Beijing's investment rules.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: MedV runs 800 fake doctor Facebook accounts to sell GLP-1s
“They are apparently running 800 fake doctor accounts on Facebook to sell compounded GLP ones. Shiel Monat verified that the accounts are not actually doctors.”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI acquires tech talk show TBPN
“OpenAI acquires TBPN, accelerating the global conversation about AI.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI offers PE firms a 17.5% minimum return
“OpenAI is offering private equity firms a guaranteed minimum return of 17.5%, as well as early access to models not yet in public release.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Anthropic Officially Designated as a Federal Supply Chain Risk
“This also coincided with Anthropic, I guess, officially being designated as a supply chain risk”
Assertion Supported
Block reduces its workforce by 40 percent, cutting 4,000 employees
“Square is cutting from 10,000 to 6000 employees, a 40% reduction.”
Assertion Supported
Trump Requires Tech Giants to Build Power Plants for AI Data Centers
“Tonight I'm pleased to announce that I have negotiated the new rate payer protection pledge.
You know what that is?
We're telling the major tech companies that they have the obligation to provide for their own power needs.
They can build their own power plants…”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Anthropic Battles Pentagon Over Surveillance and Lethal AI Uses
“It's also locked in a battle with the Defense Department over how its clawed suite are used after it told the Pentagon it couldn't be used for domestic surveillance or autonomous lethal activities.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Terraform Administrator Accuses Jane Street of Insider Trading
“The court-appointed administrator of Do Kwan's Terraform Labs alleged that Jane Street used non-public information about Terraform insiders to trade the play-by-play.”
Assertion Supported
Bishop: Corrupt PLA officer promotions functioned like angel investments for future revenue
“It's kind of like an angel investment, at least in some cases where actually people would collectively buy a stake in a rising officer because I'm not joking. Right. Literally.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Jeffrey Epstein Invested in Coinbase at a $400M Valuation
“Looking back and seeing, seeing even, even after the original conviction, how many companies he was able to get in, he got into Coinbase at 400.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: SpaceX confirms plans to merge with xAI before IPO
“SpaceX confirms plans to merge with XAI before the IPO. Elon Musk plans to merge SpaceX with XAI.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: SpaceX and xAI in merger talks ahead of planned IPO
“So, they're in discussions ahead of a blockbuster IPO planned for later this year. The combination would bring Musk's rockets, Starlink satellites, and X social media platform, and the Grok AI chatbot under one roof.”
Assertion Supported
Thinking Machines terminates CTO Barrett Zoff due to alleged unethical conduct
“Breaking Thinking Machines has terminated its CTO, Barrett Zoff, due to unethical conduct.”
Assertion Supported
Musk says xAI will exceed all combined AI compute in five years
“Elon Musk says that XAI will have more AI compute than everyone else combined in less than five years.”
Assertion Supported
Microsoft's $22B Army augmented reality contract vehicle has moved to Anduril
“Who would have bet that eight years later, that Microsoft contract, that twenty-two billion dollar contract vehicle for the architecture of the Army's AR future would move over to Anduril, that we would be launching something like Eagle Eye”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: METR Study Found AI Coding Tools Made Developers 19% Slower
“The meter team did these evaluations where they ran a randomized control trial to see how much AI coding tools speed up open source developers, and what they found was that developers said that they expected products like cursor and windsurf to improve them by…”
Assertion Supported
Huberman: Hair loss drugs finasteride and dutasteride can cause permanent sexual dysfunction
“There's this whole thing about people taking finasteride and dutasteride men to keep their hair and getting permanent sexual dysfunction, right? Permanent sexual dysfunction. Some of them killing themselves as a consequence of this.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Surge AI generated over $1B in 2024, surpassing Scale AI
“The company generated more than one billion dollars in revenue last year. Surge has told employees, a previously reported figure that exceeds The eight hundred and seventy million dollars scale generated in revenue during the same time period.”
Assertion Supported
Rauch: Cloudbleed leaked Uber auth tokens onto Google search
“You could, I don't know if the audience knows, but you could Google and literally find auth tokens of different companies like Uber indexed by Google.”
Assertion Supported
Hayes: Jeff Yass funneled millions of dollars into Vivek Ramaswamy's PAC
“Turns out Jeff Yass has funneled millions of dollars into Vivek's pack.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: AI created one million US jobs versus 200,000 related layoffs
“Add it all up, and the economist estimates that AI so far has created around one million new jobs in America that easily exceeds the roughly 200,000 layoffs attributed to AI since mid-twenty-twenty-three.”
Assertion Supported
Torre: Steve Ballmer Faces Personal Civil Fraud Lawsuit by 11 Aspiration Investors
“So there are, there's also a civil suit happening in LA court against Steve Ballmer personally by 11 aspiration investors about fraud.”
Assertion Supported
Iovine: Generative AI music startups are training on 60M unlicensed tracks
“A lot of these companies that are creating AI music right now are doing so on unlicensed music en masse, like, sixty million tracks, or something like that.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Tesla Acquisition Eliminates Musk's Operational Pay Milestones
“If Tesla undergoes a change of control, essentially, if Tesla is acquired, the operational requirements disappear. You no longer have to hit a million robotaxis or a million optimists to unlock those new tranches of stock for Elon. If there's a change of contr…”
Assertion Supported
New Mexico judge orders Meta to pay over $900 million
“A New Mexico judge has ordered Meta to pay more than nine hundred million dollars And impose new restrictions on how minors in the state use Facebook and Instagram.”
Assertion Supported
Intel Converted CHIPS Grants to Equity to Meet Trump Requirement
“So in order for the government stake to reach 10% demanded by President Donald Trump, Intel had to convert billions in manufacturing grants advanced under the 2022 CHIPS Act, plus 3.2 billion dollars of contracts from the Department of Defense into equity.”
Assertion Supported
Demis Hassabis steps down as Google DeepMind CEO for Alphabet role
“He announced that he's stepping down as CEO of Google DeepMind. He's also stepping up into the role of Google DeepMind chairman, and he will also be Alphabet's chief scientist.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: China controls 85% of the global humanoid robotics market
“So 5000 units were delivered from each unitary and adubot. By comparison, U.S. Companies, including Tesla and figure, shipped only a few hundred robots each, if that. China is also estimated to control about 85% of the global humanoid robotics market, and also…”
Assertion Supported
Hugging Face defended against AI breach using Chinese open model GLM-5.2
“So hugging face had to turn to open model, specifically GLM 5.2, which is deeply ironic, a Chinese open weight model that they run on their own infrastructure.”
Assertion Supported
White House to redirect $200B research budget from universities to scientists
“The guidance will reshape how the federal government spends roughly two hundred billion dollars a year on research for the rest of Trump's term. The administration wants more of that money going directly to scientists through fellowships and awards rather than…”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Analysts predict OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs within next year
“Some analysis, some analysts who study the AI industry say the two companies which are preparing for public listings in the next year, they just want to eliminate the competition.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Treasury Secretary Bessent warned of sanctions on overseas AI IP theft
“This morning our Treasury Secretary Besant was on Fox and said, this administration supports open source models, but what we do not support is IP theft. If we see, especially that overseas models are stealing from our great companies, we have the ability to sa…”