why aren't all 2,353 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 20 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Torre: Kawhi Leonard was contracted for $48M from Aspiration to do nothing
“And what they say and what they provide in the tonnage of all the reporting I did for months, seven months before we came out with part one of the series one year ago today, was documentation that attested to the fact that Kawhi Leonard was paid According to t…”
Assertion Supported
Torre: Steve Ballmer used four companies to funnel money to Kawhi Leonard
“And I say that because, according to the NBA's investigation and my own, this was not merely a scheme that he ran to funnel money with one company aspiration. He did it with four. He did it with the scoreboard manufacturer, multi-million dollar deal for Kawhi …”
Assertion Supported
Torre: Ballmer Created Fake Consulting Agreements to Pay Kawhi Leonard
“What they really did was they created fake jobs for Kawhi Leonard and fake consulting agreements, consulting fees for the companies.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: D.C. Officials Told VCs Not to Fund AI Startups
“They said, look, AI, AI is one of these technology, AI is a technology basically that the government is going to completely control. This is not going to be a startup thing. They actually said flat out to us, don't start, don't do AI startups. Like, don't fund…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Biden Officials Told VCs Not to Fund AI Startups
“They actually said flat out to us, don't start, don't do AI startups. Like, don't fund AI startups. Let's not, Something that we're going to allow to happen. They're not going to be allowed to exist. There's no point. They basically said AI is going to be a ga…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: Officials Warned Government May Classify Mathematics Behind AI
“They literally said, well, you know, during the Cold War, we classified entire areas of physics and took them out of the research community, and, like, entire branches of physics basically went dark and didn't proceed and that if we decide we need to, we're go…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bishop: CIA allegedly financed promotions for rising Chinese PLA officers
“And this was and there are, there's been certainly, I don't think it's been in the media, but I'd certainly heard that among the funders of some of these officers in years past was our America CIA, because it was a great way to push people in and, you know, ev…”
Assertion Supported
DiRico: Rainmaker and cloud seeding had no connection to Texas floods
“Rainmaker and cloud seeding had nothing to do with the flooding that unfolded”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Trump: Musk Opposed Spending Bill Because EV Mandates Were Cut
“All of a sudden he had a problem, and he only developed the problem when he found out that we're going to have to cut the EV mandate, because that's billions and billions of dollars, and it really is unfair.”
Assertion Partly supported
Crivello: Meta AI VP and Researchers Resigned Over Unethical Practices
“The VP of AI research at Meta resigned and so have a couple members of the core research team seemingly in protest for what they deemed to be unethical practices.”
Assertion Contradicted
Asparouhov: Biden Admin Rejected Early SpaceX Return Due to Musk's Politics
“What's incredibly clear is SpaceX offered to bring the astronauts back sooner And because it was in the middle of the election cycle, and because Musk was campaigning for Trump, the Biden administration turned down that offer.”
Assertion Supported
Brockman: OpenAI Model Solved Navier-Stokes Millennium Problem by Finding Singularity
“Today we announced that our model had solved the Navier-Stokes problem that we found a counter-example or a sort of proof that you can actually that these theoretical equations do have a singularity or kind of breakdown under
Certain circumstances.”
Assertion Partly supported
Torre: Steve Ballmer threatened NBA Commissioner Adam Silver with litigation by name
“He has now threatened personally with litigation Adam Silver by name in a letter through his lawyers.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dana White: Meta hired young talent with $65M average compensation
“We just hired, like,
10 kids that are aged 22 to 28, the average salary is like sixty-five million dollars that these kids are making.”
Assertion Supported
Lutnick: US government will acquire a 9.9% equity stake in Intel
“And at three o'clock, we're going to sign the document together in the Oval Office, where the United States of America will own 9.9% of the great American technology company Intel.”
Assertion Contradicted
Maguire: Harvard introduced remedial math because admissions standards dropped
“Harvard last year implemented their first ever remedial math because there are people coming in that don't know algebra because they dropped the admission standards.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steinman: 100 foreign sabotage teams are actively operating on US soil
“No, there's absolutely foreign, foreign sabotage teams operating on U S soil. A hundred percent. My actual number is somewhere around a hundred teams. My guess is that and the question is like, you could break that down into, you know, what types anyway.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coxon: Whistleblowing was driven entirely by personal concerns, not third parties
“Not at all. This is entirely my own personal concerns about safety and things that I've seen personally in conversations I've had.”
Assertion Partly supported
Torre: NBA Hit Steve Ballmer With Largest Owner Sanction in American Sports History
“This was the biggest punishment for an owner in the history of, I think, American professional sports, and the NBA took five first-round picks, which is the most you could imagine. They took thirty million dollars, which is a rounding error, of course, for Bal…”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI Agents Built Internal Message Board to Escape Sandbox
“OpenAI member of technical staff, Michael Dalton, revealed That its autonomous agents created a message board with each other to help break out of a sandbox environment to get access to the internet.”
Assertion Supported
Yacht broker sues Revolut CEO Nik Storonsky over $20 million commission
“Cecil Wright and Partners, a luxury yacht broker filed the legal action in London's High Court over Stronsky's acquisition of Nixie, a 335 foot vessel with four terraces. The broker alleged in a court filing that it was negotiating the purchase for Stronsky wh…”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: Citadel agreed to buy Situational Awareness's public stock portfolio
“Prime brokers reportedly rushed to raise cash to meet margin requirements while Ken Griffin's Citadel, my former employer reached a deal to purchase the funds publicly traded assets.”
Assertion Supported
Jane Street, Millennium, Citadel bid on Aschenbrenner's liquidated fund assets
“Interestingly, we heard that three firms were bidding on the assets. So Jane Street, Millennium and Citadel were sort of brought in in a closed Close circle sort of late Friday to bid on the remains of the firm.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Shkreli: Aschenbrenner shopped Anthropic stake at $1.1T valuation for liquidity
“And the rumor is over the weekend, he contacted about 10 parties to place Anthropic in an effort to shore up liquidity, selling the Anthropic stake for allegedly the offer was at a 1.1 trillion equivalent market cap which, you know, I think roughly where it's …”
Assertion Supported
Escaped OpenAI model hacked Hugging Face seeking benchmark test answers
“So the models found a zero day vulnerability, gained internet access and broke into hugging face because the model believed It hosted answers to the test.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kalanick Claims Uber Never Pushed Regulations to Advantage Itself
“I never did that.
Like we never did that.
We basically never ever
Proposed or pushed any rule that would be beneficial to us versus somebody else.”
Assertion Supported
Bloomberg: Phia extension injected affiliate codes during checkout without user interaction
“Bloomberg tested the FIA mobile browser extension across more than 50 websites and found that during the checkout process, FIA opened a background tab without user interaction and injected its own referral code that overrode legitimate referrals from other pub…”
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: Alibaba has repeatedly distilled Anthropic's Claude model
“Anthropix's Alibaba has distilled, clawed many, many times, and I saw a chart of the amount of tokens that are getting resold.”
Assertion Partly supported
Coogan: OpenAI bought 40% of global raw DRAM wafer output
“Also, apparently, OpenAI made deals to purchase 40% of the global raw undiced DRAM wafer output until 2029.”
Assertion Supported
Shotwell: SpaceX and xAI merger owns Earth's largest gigawatt-class compute cluster
“With the merger, the acquisition of XAI, we now, as a group, own the largest coherent gigawatt class compute on the planet, which will help us truth seek and understand the universe.”
Assertion Contradicted
Prince: A Golf Course Uses More Water Than All US Data Centers
“A golf course uses more water than probably all the data centers in the United States over, over the course of a year.”
Assertion Supported
Prince: Spanish and Italian Soccer Leagues Sued Cloudflare Rather Than Partnering
“La Liga in, in in, in Spain and the league in Italy have decided that instead of partnering with us to take this down, they would sue us instead.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Gerstner: Anthropic is fastest-growing company in history of capitalism
“OpenAI has not blown away their numbers. Google has not blown away their numbers. Like numbers have been good, but the fundamental driver of outperformance in terms of offtake of AI revenues has been Anthropic, which is the fastest growing company in the histo…”
Assertion Supported
Cohen: eBay's $5.5B opex and 11,500 headcount make no sense
“They're spending five and a half billion dollars on operating expenses on eleven billion dollar business that Has no inventory in its asset lights. So, it just, there's 11 and a half thousand employees, and it doesn't make sense.”
Assertion Supported
Ryan Cohen: GameStop Has $20B Bank Letter and $9B Cash for Bid
“We have the cash accounted for today in terms of, ah, a highly confident letter from our bank for the twenty billion, plus we've got nine billion of cash, so.”
Assertion Supported
China blocks Meta's $2 billion acquisition of AI platform Manus
“China has blocked Meta's two billion dollar acquisition of artificial intelligence platform Manus after regulators reviewed whether the deal violated Beijing's investment rules.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: MedV runs 800 fake doctor Facebook accounts to sell GLP-1s
“They are apparently running 800 fake doctor accounts on Facebook to sell compounded GLP ones. Shiel Monat verified that the accounts are not actually doctors.”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI acquires tech talk show TBPN
“OpenAI acquires TBPN, accelerating the global conversation about AI.”
Assertion Supported
Coogan: OpenAI offers PE firms a 17.5% minimum return
“OpenAI is offering private equity firms a guaranteed minimum return of 17.5%, as well as early access to models not yet in public release.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Anthropic Officially Designated as a Federal Supply Chain Risk
“This also coincided with Anthropic, I guess, officially being designated as a supply chain risk”
Assertion Supported
Block reduces its workforce by 40 percent, cutting 4,000 employees
“Square is cutting from 10,000 to 6000 employees, a 40% reduction.”
Assertion Supported
Trump Requires Tech Giants to Build Power Plants for AI Data Centers
“Tonight I'm pleased to announce that I have negotiated the new rate payer protection pledge.
You know what that is?
We're telling the major tech companies that they have the obligation to provide for their own power needs.
They can build their own power plants…”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Anthropic Battles Pentagon Over Surveillance and Lethal AI Uses
“It's also locked in a battle with the Defense Department over how its clawed suite are used after it told the Pentagon it couldn't be used for domestic surveillance or autonomous lethal activities.”
Assertion Supported
Hays: Terraform Administrator Accuses Jane Street of Insider Trading
“The court-appointed administrator of Do Kwan's Terraform Labs alleged that Jane Street used non-public information about Terraform insiders to trade the play-by-play.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
An Oculus executive secretly intercepted Luckey's invitation to ring the NYSE bell
“Back in the Oculus days, when we sold the company to Meta, one of the first things that happened was New York Stock Exchange emailed our contact info, email, and they asked if I would come and ring the bell of the New York Stock Exchange.
Sounds pretty cool, r…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryan Johnson says organic products typically test worse than non-organic foods
“When we test organic, It typically performs worse than non-organic on many, many variables.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Coogan: Reasoning and deep research models have basically solved LLM hallucinations
“Or they talk about hallucinated facts and LLM responses. Something that's basically been solved by deep Deep research and reasoning models”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Marszalek claims he received a $500M offer after acquiring AI.com
“And by the way right after we closed the deal, I got the approach for the, from the other side offering five, five hundred million plus, not for five hundred million for the domain.”