why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Will Manidis: Legacy healthcare companies will win the AI wave over startups
“Legacy healthcare companies are actually going to be the winners during this wave.”
Opinion
Will Manidis: Legacy healthcare distribution is the most underpriced asset globally
“Legacy distribution in healthcare is the most underpriced asset in the world right now.”
Opinion
Will Manidis: Deep tech startups raise hundreds of millions on impossible physics
“And I think we're seeing some incredible innovations happen in the deep tech fraud arena right now, where we have companies that are raising, you know, hundreds of millions of dollars on technology that does not exist, will never exist. And is plainly impossib…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Will Manidis: Tech Christianity revival could just be a five-year trend
“Slightly worried that this is going to be like a five-year wave, going to be trendy, going to fade out.”
Opinion
Will Manidis: San Francisco church services feel like startup networking events
“Like even when you go to service in San Francisco, it does feel a little bit like this is like a networking event, right? Like why am I here for services and also pitching my startup?”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Will Manidis: No new AI-enabled executive physical startups will survive
“I think we will see a thousand kind of AI enabled executive physical startups happen over the next six months. I don't think any of them are going to last.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2049
Will Manidis predicts Sam Bankman-Fried will not serve his full prison sentence
“I will be shocked to see if he serves this whole sentence. He has, like, very strong proof that if you donate enough money to the right people, you can kind of bend the world around you, and I sincerely hope he stays in jail for a very long amount of time.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Will Manidis: Tech market has multiple 10x upside cycles and sell-downs ahead
“I think we got a couple more, 10 X's left to go. I think the ceiling is far from where we're at now. I just think we have a couple, you know, 10 X sell downs on the way too.”
Disclosure
Will Manidis is a 'cash chad' who has never used credit cards
“I am a cash chad. I run my accounts net cash. I've never had leverage in my life. No credit cards, debit cards only, right?”