The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Depue: Yann LeCun had no involvement with Meta's LLaMA models
“I think it's a shame that they didn't necessarily have someone in the llama org who was as visible as him because he was not involved with llama at all. Like fair fundamental AI research is like a whole other group that they mostly write papers and do very aca…”
Depue: RL task specification scales with compute far better than pre-training data
“Because like tokens, you kind of hit diminishing returns pretty quick in terms of just like more internet texts or more like human written math solution examples. And it doesn't scale super well, but the thing, the nice thing about the task specification is yo…”
Depue: Meta may eventually shift to releasing closed flagship AI models
“I w it wouldn't surprise me if they go kind of the Google route where like they are still, they still do open source. They still have the llama brand, but it isn't like their flagship thing where they start doing, whether it's for internal products or it's, th…”
Depue: Meta has not had a homegrown product innovation stick in a while
“It's been a while since they had a product innovation that was homegrown that really stuck.”
Depue: OpenAI holds iPhone-like center of gravity as default AI winner
“I think as long as OpenAI doesn't totally drop the ball on product or research, like, they have the center of gravity for the AI world, like, in the same way that no matter what Android ships, people are not gonna switch from their iPhones, like, It's somethin…”
Depue: Cursor and Claude 3.5 Sonnet made AI coding genuinely useful
“And then it took until cursor for it to really like, I think cursor plus like three, five summit was when it became a thing that was good enough that people were excited about it. And it really ushered in the trend because people were starting to find it more …”