The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Will Brown: Nobody will run Meta's giant model for daily tasks
“When Meta releases this behemoth model, I don't think anyone's really gonna run behemoth. For like their day to day stuff. It's just probably not gonna be worth it.”
Will Brown Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 6:21 Why Humor Is the True Test of AI Intelligence | Will Brown on TBPN
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Will Brown: Effective agentic AI will work well on small models
“That's kind of like my bet is like, people are going to really want to train models to be agents. And I think you can get that to work well with a pretty small model.”
Will Brown Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 8:04 Why Humor Is the True Test of AI Intelligence | Will Brown on TBPN
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brown: DeepSeek serves all of China on 2,000 GPUs
“Like Deep Seek is serving all of China on 2000 GPUs.”
Will Brown Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 16:06 Why Humor Is the True Test of AI Intelligence | Will Brown on TBPN
Assertion Supported
Will Brown: Morgan Stanley deployed integrations on day GPT-4 launched
“Like, the day GPT-IV launched, Morgan Stanley had integrations, because we had been working on it, and these were, like, we had press releases for these, like, we are ready to go”
Will Brown Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 10:57 Why Humor Is the True Test of AI Intelligence | Will Brown on TBPN
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