The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Hammond: AI will deflate US knowledge work while China automates manufacturing
“The last 40 years we've specialized in, you know, higher education, knowledge work, legal management services, Hollywood, you know, the creative class, all this stuff that is going to like be deflated and China will have the factories that will become fully au…”
Hammond: Abruptly resetting global trade imbalances will crash stocks and real estate
“If you do this all at once, what that means is the entire floor will fall out of the stock market and the real estate market. And, you know, with huge cascading effects through emerging calls.”
Hammond: AI systems will swamp all other economic issues by 2029
“In four years we're going to have such powerful AI systems that like really it swamps everything else.”