why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steinberger: Users will stop subscribing to SaaS startups in favor of bespoke agent software
“You don't subscribe to random startups anymore that, that build like this common subset of what you need. You just have your own hyper-personalized software that solves exactly your problem. And it's also free.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Peter Steinberger: 2026 is the year of the personal assistant
“Last year was the year of the coding agent. This year is the year of the personal assistant.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steinberger: AI agents will cause many consumer apps to disappear or become APIs
“A lot of apps will just melt away. Why do I still need my fitness pal? I just make a picture of my food. My agent already knows I'm at McDonald's making bad decisions. So like this combines information, it has a perfect match and knows exactly what I'm going t…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Anthropic politely asked Steinberger to rename Clawdbot without sending external lawyers
“That's also why it's a little bit of a banger that I got an email from an tropic That I had to rename the project. And I mean, kudos, they were really nice. They didn't send their lawyers. They sent someone internally.”
Assertion Supported
Steinberger: Prompt injection is unsolved and poses absolute risk
“We just haven't solved some things, like prompt injection is not solved. There is absolute risk”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steinberger: Startups acquire other companies just for their Gmail API licenses
“You know, like when you are a company, you want to access Gmail, the amount of red tape is so large that, that startups buy other startups that have the license for Gmail, because going through the process yourself is, is a huge pit.”