The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 18 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Steinberger: Model Context Protocols are crap and cannot scale like native CLIs
“Because my premise is MCPs are crap. Doesn't really scale. People build like all kinds of weird search things around it. But you know what scales? CLIs. Agents know Unix.”
Steinberger: Users will stop subscribing to SaaS startups in favor of bespoke agent software
“You don't subscribe to random startups anymore that, that build like this common subset of what you need. You just have your own hyper-personalized software that solves exactly your problem. And it's also free.”
Steinberger: AI agents are resourceful problem solvers when given system access
“These things are like, damn smart, resourceful beasts if you actually give them the power.”
Peter Steinberger: 2026 is the year of the personal assistant
“Last year was the year of the coding agent. This year is the year of the personal assistant.”
Steinberger: A solo dev using AI can ship as much as a company
“Authentic models got so good that you can now ship as much as a company could a year ago. If you can handle those tools, if you speak the language or like understand how the language thinks. You can go really fast.”
Steinberger: AI agents will cause many consumer apps to disappear or become APIs
“A lot of apps will just melt away. Why do I still need my fitness pal? I just make a picture of my food. My agent already knows I'm at McDonald's making bad decisions. So like this combines information, it has a perfect match and knows exactly what I'm going t…”
Steinberger: Software code has little value today; brand and attention matter
“Code is not worth that much anymore. It's, you could just delete that and then build it again in months. It's much more the idea and the eyeballs and maybe the brand that actually has value.”
Steinberger: CLIs are where AI agents excel by closing feedback loops
“I build a lot of CLIs because that's where agents are really good. You know, you have to close the loop. That's always the secret. You have to give, you have to build it so that the agent has the best possible way to build software.”
Steinberger: Claude Opus is by far the best foundation model
“Opus is with quite a bit lead the best.”
Steinberger: OpenAI is superior for coding across large codebases
“Like for coding, I much prefer Codex because it can navigate large code bases. I literally, you can literally prompt and then push domain. And I have a very, I have like, 95% certainty that it actually works.”
Anthropic politely asked Steinberger to rename Clawdbot without sending external lawyers
“That's also why it's a little bit of a banger that I got an email from an tropic That I had to rename the project. And I mean, kudos, they were really nice. They didn't send their lawyers. They sent someone internally.”
Steinberger: MiniMax 2.1 is currently the best open-source model
“I can run Minimax two one, which is I would say is, is the best open source model right now, although Kimi just came out and I haven't had a chance to try it yet, so, so we'll see how that goes.”
Steinberger: Prompt injection is unsolved and poses absolute risk
“We just haven't solved some things, like prompt injection is not solved. There is absolute risk”
Steinberger: Screenshots speed up AI prompting by providing dense context quickly
“Images are like,
They often give you so much context and you don't have to type so much.
So I feel like this is like one of the hacks where you can prompt faster, just like make a screenshot so that agents are really good at figuring out what you want.”
Steinberger: Software tools must be designed for AI models, not human users
“And if you are smart, you build it in a way that just uses what the model already expects, you know, don't build it for humans, build it for models.”
Steinberger: Startups acquire other companies just for their Gmail API licenses
“You know, like when you are a company, you want to access Gmail, the amount of red tape is so large that, that startups buy other startups that have the license for Gmail, because going through the process yourself is, is a huge pit.”