The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Partly held up
Gurman: Apple to release Gemini-powered Siri revamp in spring 2026
“The big AI thing for Apple is the revamped Siri coming out in the spring. They're using a Google Gemini model to power it, which I think is going to make it pretty top tier.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 14:38 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Federighi, O'Brien, Cue, and Joswiak Will Not Succeed Tim Cook
“It's for sure not going to be Craig. It's not going to be Deirdre. It's not going to be Eddie. It's not going to be Jaws.”
Mark Gurman Apr 22, 2026 ▶ 2:46 Apple’s New CEO John Ternus, Ferrari’s First EV | Diet TBPN
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple will report its first $140B quarter in upcoming earnings
“And so they set themselves up for a pretty nice upgrade cycle, and you're gonna see that with their first hundred forty billion dollar quarter. When they report at the end of January, early February.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 7:38 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple built an in-house AI search to rival Perplexity
“What they haven't talked about Is AI web search. And so the new Siri is also going to have a chat GPT perplexity competitor for things like deep research and summarizing search. That is going to be an Apple built, an Apple powered system.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 19:09 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Prediction Partly held up
Gurman: Google to launch smart glasses with Samsung and Warby Parker
“What you're going to see is Google come into this space, too. They're going to launch, you know, their smart glasses with Samsung in a few months, their glasses with Warby Parker and a few other glasses brands in a few months, and there's going to be a lot of …”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 30:56 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Assertion Supported
Gurman: Tim Cook cut his $100M compensation after public backlash
“He was making a hundred million a year a few years ago. Then everyone flipped out, and he had no choice but to cut his pay because they were kind of sick and tired of the backlash, right?”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 4:23 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Prediction Held up
Gurman: Apple Will Not Remove ChatGPT-Siri Integration
“They're not taking that away. They're not taking it away.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 18:08 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
Assertion Supported
Gurman: Snap aims to launch consumer Spectacles in 2026
“They're trying to get this consumer version of the glasses out on the market next year.”
Mark Gurman Nov 4, 2025 ▶ 32:49 Mark Gurman on Apple Glasses Release Date, The Next AirPods, The Problem With Siri & More
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