The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Cuban: Humanoid Robot Startups Will Fail Miserably Within Ten Years
“I think everybody's making this push for humanoid robots. I think they might have a five-year lifespan and then they'll fail miserably, maybe 10.”
Cuban: Requiring Foreign Amazon Seller Bonds Would Skyrocket US Manufacturing
“And yeah, and legislatively you could fix it in a heartbeat. You got to post a bond. 25,000 dollar bond, depending on the size of the market, maybe more, and then give everybody 90 days to check it, and all of a sudden the whole industry changes, and American …”
Cuban: AI is merely statistical and will not become smart for a long time
“Particularly because AI is not smart. Right. AI is just statistical right now. And I'm of the mindset that that's not going to change for a long time.”
Cuban: AI Agents Using Crypto Wallet Payments Will Cause Widespread Scams
“You know, to make it so that, you know, just give me your wallet and that's, you know, it's going to end up being a scam and a lot of people are going to get ripped off there.”
Cuban: Adversarial graffiti will inevitably confuse vision-based self-driving systems
“There's somebody somewhere trying to figure out how to fuck up self-driving mode, right? Because it's just taking video input, and you know, what, it could be some pattern, and all of a sudden you're seeing this pattern on medians, or, you know, overlaid on st…”
Cuban predicts five to six foundation models and millions of brand models
“There's not, there'll be five, six, whatever it is, foundational models before there's consolidation. But beyond that, there's gonna be millions of models. Millions and millions of models. And every brand is going to need a model, particularly like in healthca…”
Cuban: Five to six foundational models will exist before consolidation
“There's not, there'll be five, six, whatever it is, foundational models before there's consolidation, but beyond that, there's going to be millions of models, millions and millions of models, and every brand is going to need a model, particularly like in healt…”
Cuban: Non-tech companies will have AI job shortages for years
“Going to any other company who has no idea about AI, but needs it in order to compete, there'll be more jobs than people for a long, long time.”
Cuban: AI in Sports Will Be Limited to Officiating
“I mean, maybe for the referees, like you've seen in tennis, but that's it.”
Cuban: Future Homes Will Be Redesigned Around Non-Humanoid Robots
“I think houses are going to be redesigned completely so that whatever the optimal robot is that allows it to simplify the house, that's where houses will go.”
Cuban: Bandwidth Limits Will Constrain Video-Based AI World Models
“I think, you know, the biggest challenge going forward is going to be, as we go from an LLM world to a world view world of AI, where, you know, we're taking in video and learning from the video and extracting rules from the video, a lot of the things that we'r…”
Cuban: Basic AI foundation models will always remain free
“The basic models are always going to be free.”
Cuban: IP practices will radically change as AI training absorbs published work
“Part two, we're, I think we're going to see a groundswell in how intellectual property is dealt with. A groundswell change in how IP is dealt with. Because there was, for a long time, it's been publish or perish. Get your stuff out there. Get it into journals.…”
Cuban: AI Cold Email Surge Will Drop Off as Response Rates Plummet
“And that's okay, right? Because they're gonna, the response rates most likely will be so low. We're in that trial and error phase where people are like, we're gonna try and see what happens. You know, maybe we'll get lucky and then they'll get bored and then i…”