The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Kilpatrick: Pre-Training Isn't Dead; Gains Multiply Through Post-Training and RL
“And this is why, like, I don't subscribe to the, like pre-training is, you know, dead and all that stuff, because the more work that you can do at the pre-training level, those capabilities, as you do post-training and as you give the models RL capability, it'…”
Kilpatrick: ChatGPT's consumer success was driven by its API business
“I think part of my core worldview is a lot of the reason that ChatGPT has been as successful as it has
Is because there was an API business built around it.”
Kilpatrick: Chatbot Arena captures user vibes rather than evaluating scientific truth
“Like, Ella Marina is basically capturing vibes. It's like, how do people feel about this thing? It's not scientific. They're not, like, not actually evaling that the model is saying things that are true. It's like, how do humans feel about this response?”